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TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks

#25 TCU Horned Frogs (12-1) at #7 Kansas Jayhawks (12-2)

NCAA BB: Wednesday, January 9th, 2019 at 9:00 pm (Allen Fieldhouse)

Line and Odds: Kansas Jayhawks -5.5            Over/Under: 151.5

Free ESPN NCAA BB Picks Kansas Jayhawks vs. TCU Horned Frogs

The TCU Horned Frogs look to continue their ascent from a college basketball doormat to a legitimate basketball power. TCU is currently 12-1 and ranked #25 in the most recent Associated Press Top 25 Poll. Their schedule hasn’t been particularly daunting, but their performance has been impressive enough to garner votes by AP voters. The game at Kansas will be their 2nd conference game and their biggest test of the season. Their first conference game was an 85-81 win at home against the Baylor Bears. The Horned Frogs jumped out to a 50-31 lead, but Baylor was able to come back and make it a tough game. In fact, TCU was only up 82-81 with 18 seconds left in the game. The Horned Frogs sank 3 free throws to close it out and clinch their first Big XII win. TCU is 50th in the nation in offensive rating, scoring 111.9 points per 100 possessions. They are 25th in Division I with an effective field goal percentage of 56.3%. TCU is also 4th in assist percentage. 68.1% of TCU’s field goals have come off of an assist. This statistic is driven by the passing ability of TCU guard Alex Robinson. He leads the Big XII in assists with 8.7 per game. He has totaled 50 more assists than anyone else in the Big XII. Robinson also averages 13.5 points per game. His backcourt mate, Desmond Bane, leads the Horned Frogs in scoring. Bane scores 14.4 points per game. TCU is ranked 41st in defensive rating, allowing 91.7 points per 100 possessions. They are 27th with a defensive effective field goal percentage of 45.1%. The Horned Frogs are a well-balanced team but they have to prove that they can perform at a high level against quality competition. It will also be interesting to see if TCU can be the team to challenge Kansas’ Big XII supremacy.

The Kansas Jayhawks have been the kings of the Big XII for a long time. They have finished 1st or tied for 1st in the Big XII for 14 straight years. However, Kansas opened up conference play in shaky fashion. After a 70-63 home win against Oklahoma, Kansas suffered a 77-60 road defeat against Iowa State. The Jayhawks allowed the Cyclones to shoot 13 for 25 (52.0%) from 3-point range. Kansas also turned the ball over 24 times to Iowa State’s 12 times. Despite outrebounding Iowa State 41-26, the game was pretty non-competitive as it entered the later stages of the 2nd half. Overall, the Kansas Jayhawks’ season is still on a good track. They have a 12-2 record and they are ranked #7 in the Associated Press Top 25 Poll. They’ve notched good wins over Michigan State, Marquette, Tennessee, Villanova and Oklahoma. The most alarming aspect of the Iowa State loss is that they were forced to play without center Udoka Azubuike. He tore ligaments in his right hand and he’s going to undergo season-ending surgery to repair it. Azubuike missed both of Kansas’ losses, Arizona State and Iowa State. They are going to have to overcome that injury because he will not be back this year. The Jayhawks will have to rely more on forward Dedric Lawson and guard Lagerald Vick. Lawson is 3rd in the Big XII in scoring with 18.6 points per game and 1st in the Big XII in rebounding with 11.1 boards per game. Vick is 6th in the conference in scoring with 14.8 points per game. Kansas is 120th in the country in offensive rating, scoring 107.1 points per 100 possessions. They are 72nd in defensive rating, allowing 94.4 points per 100 possessions. Their statistics may not seem that great, but unlike TCU, they have played a formidable schedule. The Jayhawks have played one of the 5 toughest schedules in the NCAA, so far.

Cover The Spread 365 Betting Trends

Horned Frogs

TCU is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games

The total has gone OVER in 4 of TCU’s last 5 games when playing Kansas

TCU is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas

Jayhawks

Kansas is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games

The total has gone OVER in 13 of Kansas’s last 18 games

Kansas is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing TCU

Kansas is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing TCU

ESPN NCAA BB Scores TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks

I like Kansas to cover the spread in this matchup. The most important factor in this game is the strength of schedule that each team has faced. Statistically, the TCU Horned Frogs have been more impressive. However, the quality of competition aren’t really comparable. A good argument could be made that Kansas has faced the toughest schedule in the entire nation. TCU has faced a remarkably light schedule. This will be TCU’s first test against elite opposition. Kansas has always been a different team at home than they are on the road. I understand that Kansas is missing Udoka Azubuike, but I believe they’ll be able to overcome that injury tonight. The best unit on the floor will be the Kansas defense (when strength of schedule is factored in) and it will cause TCU’s offense problems. Take Kansas and give the points

Kansas Jayhawks -5.5

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Lorenzo Archer
Lorenzo Archer
Lorenzo is an expert with give unparalleled advice when it comes to the NBA, NFL and college sports. His slogan is "Eye Test Sports Without Stats" and that's exactly what you are going to get here. No fancy stats, just observation and analysis!
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