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Washington State Cougars vs. Oregon Ducks

Washington State Cougars (11-20) vs Oregon Ducks (19-12)

NCAA Basketball: Wednesday, March 13th, 2019 at 11:30 pm (T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV)

Line and Odds: Oregon Ducks -11  Over/Under: 137

 

Free NCAA Basketball Picks Oregon Ducks vs. Washington State Cougars

Washington State

The Washington State Cougars have suffered yet another forgettable basketball season. The Cougars have an overall record of 11-20 and a 4-14 record in conference play. In the 5 seasons under head coach Ernie Kent, the Cougs have gone 58-97 with 5 straight losing seasons. They have been unable to win more than 13 games in any season with Kent as head coach. With an easy early season schedule, Washington State started off the season 7-3. Since then, they have gone just 4-17. Washington State is ranked 198th in the NCAA’s NET Men’s Basketball Rankings, which is one of the worst rankings of any Power 5 men’s basketball team.

The Cougars are going to have a tough time getting wins in the Pac-12 Tournament because of how poorly they’ve played away from home. They have a 9-8 record when playing at home in Pullman, but they own a 2-12 record in games away from home. The Cougars mounted back-to-back road wins against Arizona and Arizona State, but have no road/neutral wins outside of the Arizona road double. They have absolutely no momentum heading into the Pac-12 tournament as they’ve lost their last 5 games, including last week’s loss to Oregon State.

Washington State lost to Oregon State on Senior Night, 85-77. The Cougars had a 43-38 halftime lead, but the Beavers overwhelmed them in the 2nd half. Washington State held Oregon State to just 31.8% shooting from beyond the arc. While the Cougars were able to limit the Beavers from the floor, there were two main reasons why Oregon State won. First, the Beavers won the possession battle. They won the rebounding edge 37-31 and the turnover edge 15-10. Second, Oregon State successfully exploited their free throw advantage. Oregon State shot 28 free throws and hit 20. The Cougars only shot 13 free throws and hit 11 of them.

Washington State is 116th in Division I in adjusted offensive rating, scoring 106.62 points per 100 possessions. The Cougars shoot an effective field goal percentage of 53.3%, which ranks 80th in the nation. Cougars forward Robert Franks leads the Pac-12 in scoring with 22.1 points per game. Franks also leads the team in rebounding with 7.4 rebounds per game. Washington State is 255th in Division I in adjusted defensive rating, allowing 108.00 points per 100 possessions. The Cougars’ defense allows teams to shoot an effective field goal percentage of 54.5%, ranking 331st in eFG% defense.

 

Oregon

The Oregon Ducks will need a deep run into the Pac-12 tournament if they want to make the NCAA tournament. If not, Oregon will be playing in the NIT in mid-March. The Ducks have a 19-12 overall record and a 10-8 record in conference. They finished tied for 4th in the final Pac-12 standings and earned a #6 seed in the Pac-12 tournament. It is fair to characterize this season as a bit of a disappointment for Dana Altman and the Oregon Ducks. They were ranked #14 in the preseason Associated Press Top 25 College Basketball Poll. After the first 3 weeks of the season and a home loss to Texas Southern, they had fallen out of the poll and haven’t seen the top 25 since. With the regular season complete, Oregon ranks 61st in the NCAA’s Men’s Basketball NET Rankings.

To Oregon’s credit, they managed to recover from non-conference struggles to earn a winning record in Pac-12. The Ducks have been especially strong in the last 2 weeks of the season. They’ve won 4 straight games with impressive margins to close out the regular season. Oregon notched home wins over Arizona State, 79-51, and Arizona, 73-47. Last week, they grabbed road wins at Washington State, 72-61, and Washington, 55-47.

The Oregon Ducks were able to ruin Washington’s Senior Night with a stellar defensive performance. Oregon held Washington to 33.3% (16/48) shooting from the field and 15.0% (3/20) shooting from three-point land. Guard Payton Pritchard led Oregon with 16 points, while forward Paul White chipped in 10 points. The Ducks also secured a 37-28 rebounding advantage over the Huskies. Despite shooting 4/22 from 3, Oregon was able to get an 8 point road win against the #1 team in the Pac-12. The Ducks are playing some of their best basketball of the season.

Oregon is 86th in Division I in adjusted offensive rating, scoring 108.54 points per 100 possessions. The Ducks shoot an effective field goal percentage of 51.6%, ranking 148th in the country. Oregon is 31st in Division I in adjusted defensive rating, allowing 91.13 points per 100 possessions. The Ducks’ defense allows teams to shoot an effective field goal percentage of 47.7% against them, which ranks 49th in the nation. They are 20th in the nation in terms of 3-point percentage defense, forcing opponents to shoot just 30.2% from 3-point land.

Cover The Spread 365 Betting Trends

Cougars

Washington State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games

Washington State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Oregon

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington State’s last 5 games when playing Oregon

Ducks

Oregon is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Oregon’s last 10 games

Oregon is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington State

NCAA Basketball Scores Washington State Cougars vs. Oregon Ducks

Predicting that the Oregon Ducks will cover the spread in this matchup. Oregon has faced Washington State twice this season. Oregon secured double digit wins in both meetings. The Ducks beat the Cougars 78-58 on January 27th in Eugene, and beat them 72-61 on March 6th in Pullman. Oregon is the far superior team and a neutral-site environment will put that on display. I expect Robert Franks to get his points, but the Cougars will struggle to hit shots from the outside. Defensively, Oregon will clamp down on the Washington State offense. The Ducks’ offense has struggled this season, but Washington State’s awful shooting defense should remedy Oregon’s offensive woes. Oregon is playing great basketball, while WSU has been in a 3-month free fall. Take Oregon and give the points.

Oregon Ducks -11

Lorenzo Archer
Lorenzo Archer
Lorenzo is an expert with give unparalleled advice when it comes to the NBA, NFL and college sports. His slogan is "Eye Test Sports Without Stats" and that's exactly what you are going to get here. No fancy stats, just observation and analysis!
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