Wisconsin Badgers (23-9) vs. Michigan State Spartans (26-6)
College Basketball: Saturday, March 16, at 1 pm ET (United Center)
Spread: Michigan State Spartans -4.5 Over/Under: 129.5
Draftkings Picks Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan State Spartans
A Big Ten tournament matchup with 1st ranked Michigan State taking on 4th ranked Wisconsin. Michigan State has had a great season and they ended it winning four out of their last five games. Wisconsin also won four out of their last five games of the season and that has helped them be successful so far in the tournament.
Wisconsin was 23-9 on the season and 14-6 against conference opponents. The Badgers are led by Ethan Happ, D’Mitrik Trice and Brad Davison. Ethan Happ, senior forward, is averaging a double-double with 17.8 PPG and 10.4 RPG. D’Mitrik Trice, sophomore guard, is averaging 1195 PPG, 2.8 RPG and 2.5 APG. Brad Davison, sophomore guard, is averaging 10.9 PPG and 3.3 RPG. These three players are the leading scorers and main focus of Wisconsin’s offensive game.
Wisconsin played Michigan State only once during the regular season and it was a loss, 59-67. It was a tight game in the first and Wisconsin was leading by one heading into the half. In the second, Michigan State turned things around and took control of the game. Wisconsin struggled a little in this game. They got outrebounded, shot poorly from three and were unable to convert from the free throw line. Michigan State grabbed 40 rebounds to Wisconsin’s 28 and ten of the 40 were offensive rebounds that gave Michigan State second chances to score. Wisconsin shot 30 percent from three and 5-12 from the free throw line. These specific things led Wisconsin to a loss and if they want to turn things around in this matchup and get the win they will have to battle on the boards and limit Michigan State’s second chance scoring. They will need to convert at a higher level from three and if they aren’t hitting they need to be aggressive and get to the paint. Wisconsin will also have to convert their free throws, they can’t miss out on easy points.
Michigan State was 26-6 on the season and 16-4 against conference opponents. The Spartans are led by Cassius Winston, Nick Ward and Joshua Langford. Winston is a junior guard leading the team in scoring with 19 PPG. He is also their leading assist man with 7.6 per game. Ward is a junior forward averaging 15.1 PPG and an efficient 6.7 RPG. Langford is a junior guard and the third leading scorer with 15 PPG.
Michigan State got the win in their only matchup against Wisconsin during the season. They won because they took high-quality shots, rebounded at a high level and got second-chance points. Michigan State is a great defensive team and rebounding team. Ethan Happ did give them a hard time on offense as he scored 20 points and recorded 12 rebounds. But something I thought they did well was that they shut down everyone else on the team other than Happ. Happ is great and a hard player to stop on the offensive side of the ball and I think Michigan State realized that and instead of focusing their whole attention on Happ they stopped the other Wisconsin players from being involved and getting into a rhythm. I think as long as Michigan State focuses on defense and rebounding the ball they have a chance at winning this game.
Cover The Spread 365 Betting Trends
Wisconsin is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Wisconsin’s last 16 games
Wisconsin is 16-15-1 ATS
Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Michigan State’s last 17 games
Michigan State is 22-10-0 ATS
FanDuel Picks Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgers
Wisconsin and Michigan are both great teams and it is hard to say which team wins in this matchup, but I will go with Michigan State. Wisconsin relies heavily on Ethan Happ and when he struggles the team struggles to win. I think Michigan understands that and will do their best to change Wisconsin’s game plan. Expect Wisconsin to put up a fight, but for Michigan State to get the win.