Texas A&M Aggies (8-4) vs NC State Wolfpack (9-3)
NCAAF: Monday, December 31, 2018 at 7:30 PM ET (TIAA Bank Field)
Line & Odds: Texas A&M Aggies -6/ NC State Wolfpack +7.5 — Over/Under: 58.5
Free NCAAF Pick NC State Wolfpack vs Texas A&M Aggies
The Gator Bowl presents a very interesting matchup as the 19th-ranked Texas A&M Aggies take on the NC State Wolfpack. Both teams enter the contest on a three game winning streak and will be looking to finish off their season on a high note.
The NC State Wolfpack have had a roller coaster type season as they’ve experienced some big highs, but have also went through some tough lows. NC State were a strong mid tier team throughout the year as they were able to defeat most of the matchups they were dealt, but whenever they were matched up against a ranked opponent they struggled. Senior QB Ryan Finley has enjoyed his best season in college as he threw for 3,789 yards on 67.9% completion to go with 24 TD’s to just 9 INT’s. It’s no surprise that NC State average 35.6 ppg (21st in CFB) and 327.7 passing ypg (6th in CFB) when you combine Finley’s arm with RB Reggie Gallaspy II running ability. Gallaspy II rushed for over 1,000 yards and 18 touchdowns on 4.7 yards per carry. One of the keys to the Wolfpacks offense has been their ability to be successful on 3rd downs as they converted on 50.9% of them (6th in CFB). Defensively, they are extremely strong against the run allowing just 109.1 ypg (13th in CFB), but against the pass they were atrocious allowing 271.2 ypg (120th in CFB), which is near dead last in the country and by far the biggest weakness for this team. The unit is led by Senior LB Germaine Pratt, who leads the team in tackles (104), sacks (6) and fumbles forced (2). They do allow just 22.7 ppg (37th in CFB), which is strong and a big reason for that is their ability to stop teams on 32.3% of their 3rd downs (19th in CFB). That wins you games and it could be what gives them the edge in their upcoming bowl game vs Texas A&M.
The Texas A&M Aggies ended their season with a bang as they defeated the 11th-ranked LSU Tigers 74-72 in a seven-overtime thriller. It featured an unbelievable game from QB Kellen Mond, who threw for 287 yards and six touchdowns plus rushed for 42 yards and another touchdown. RB Trayveon Williams rushed for 198 yards and two TD’s on 35 carries while three different receivers (Quartney Davis, Jace Sternberger and Kendrick Rogers) caught two touchdowns each. The Aggies offense as a team has been strong all season as they average 34.7 ppg (27th in CFB), while being balanced both in the passing and rushing game. With the help of Mond and Williams, the Aggies average 262.0 passing ypg (35th in CFB) and 203.8 rushing ypg (32nd in CFB), which makes it harder to plan for them. If you take one part of their game out then the other will have a big chance to capitalize. Defensively, Texas A&M are very similar to NC State as their rushing defense is one of the best in the league allowing just 92.0 ypg (2nd in CFB) and their passing defense is one of the worst allowing 262.7 ypg (111th in CFB). They allow just 26.3 ppg (58th in CFB) are strong at stopping teams on 3rd down as well holding them to just 32.9% (21st in CFB). LB Otaro Alaka leads the team in tackles with 79 while DL Landis Durham leads the team with 7.5 sacks. It’s an all around effort when it comes to stopping the run and it could be just what the Aggies need to get the edge in their game against NC State.
Cover The Spread 365 NCAAF betting trends
4-1 SU in their last 5 games
2-3 ATS in their last 5 road games
9-4 ATS in their last 13 games
6-2 SU in their last 8 games
Free NCAAF Parlays NC State Wolfpack vs Texas A&M Aggies
Both these teams come into this bowl game playing some good football, so this will definitely be a good one. Texas A&M are favorites because of their incredible result against LSU in their last game of the regular season, but the matchup they are getting against NC State is a tough one. The Wolfpack are one of the best passing teams in the country and that is a weakness that has been very clear for the Aggies all year. It could be what turns the tide in this bowl game.
Pick: NC State +7.5