Texas Longhorns (6-3,4-2) vs Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-4,3-3)
NCAA FB: Saturday, November 10 at 7:30 pm ET (Jones AT&T Stadium)
Odds: Texas -2, O/U: 61.5
Texas vs Texas Tech NCAA FB Preview, Pick and Odds
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Texas Tech is coming off a difficult home loss in prime time last week against No. 6 Oklahoma. The Red Raiders get another marquee matchup in prime time for the second straight week. They, too, desperately need a win to keep their season headed in the right trajectory. Texas Tech is also trying to avoid a third consecutive loss. A defeat to Texas and the Red Raiders would fall to .500, after starting the season off promising at 3-1. Coming into this game, they have a lot of injuries the main one being in linebacker Dakota Allen being doubtful.
The bad news for the Red Raiders is that freshman quarterback Alan Bowman might not play Saturday, after suffering a recurrence of a partially collapsed lung last Saturday against Oklahoma. Texas Tech will have to turn to sophomore Jett Duffey, a better runner but not as good of a passer. Duffey will need to make plays with his legs, something Oklahoma State quarterback Taylor Cornelius was able to do against Texas two weeks ago. Duffey will still need to look for the explosive Antoine Wesley, who leads the Big 12 in yards and receptions, on the outside. And with the way Texas has defended the run lately, this also may be a game where Texas Tech needs to run the ball early and often.
For Texas, this is pretty much a must-win game. The Longhorns don’t want to lose their third straight game to fall to 6-4. It would also end any remaining hopes of making the Big 12 title game, as Texas needs to win out and then get some help for that. It also wasn’t too long Texas was sitting at 6-1 and ranked inside the top 10 in the country. But a loss to Texas Tech on Saturday and the Longhorns could quite possibly be looking at a 7-5 finish (No. 22 Iowa State and Kansas remain), which is hardly an improvement from last season.
Texas Tech’s defense has mostly been a liability this season. The Red Raiders rank dead-last in the Big 12 in both total defense and pass defense, while they are ninth in scoring defense. Quarterback Sam Ehlinger is coming off a huge game against West Virginia last week in which he accounted for four touchdowns and over 400 yards of offense. The sophomore has quickly turned himself into one of the best quarterbacks in a conference already rich with them. That combination will be in Texas’ favor come Saturday evening.
Pick: Texas -2
Texas is better on the defensive side of the ball than the air-raid Texas Tech. The Longhorns cornerback are top round picks in the next round so they can keep up with the Texas Tech receivers. The Texas offense will dominate the Red Raiders’ defense in every way Ehlinger will have a big game depsite his shoulder injury. Texas Tech will come out strong especially at home and with this only being a 2 point spread it will be closer than most think. Texas 27-24.