Baylor Bears (15-6) at Texas Longhorns (12-10)
NCAA BB: February 6, 2019 @8:00 PM EST (Frank Erwin Center)
Line and Odds: Texas -3 — Over/Under: 133.5
Free ESPN NCAA BB Picks Texas Longhorns vs Baylor Bears
This game features two teams trending in opposite directions. Baylor looks poised to lock up a top 6 seed in the tournament, while Texas is hanging onto their tournament life by the skin of their teeth.
Baylor is coming into this matchup red hot. They’ve won six in a row, including wins over Texas Tech, Alabama, Oklahoma, and TCU. Their last two games in particular have been absolute routs over Oklahoma and TCU, winning each game by 25+ points. Their stats over this six game stretch are extremely impressive, as well. They’re averaging 78.5 ppg and holding their opponents to 63.8ppg. It was only a matter of time before the offense starting clicking for Baylor, but it’s their defense that has held this team together all season. Currently, Baylor is ranked 21st in the country in scoring defense. Over the course of the season they’re limiting their opponents to 63.6 ppg, which as you can see is right on pace with what they’ve been doing over this six game winning streak. If Baylor can continue to produce on the offensive end they can be one of the most dangerous teams in the country come March.
Texas definitely isn’t coming into this game playing as well as Baylor. Actually, they’ve been the definition of average. Texas has big wins over Kansas, UNC, and Purdue, but they also have bad losses against Georgia, VCU, Radford, and Providence. However with all that being said, they need this game more than Baylor does. The desperation factor is in full effect tonight. Texas is still clinging to their tournament life and a win over Baylor would do wonders for their chances. Texas is running out of opportunities to impress the committee and really need to take advantage of this matchup at home. Texas’ best chance to win this game will be by slowing the game down and limiting Baylor’s offense. If Texas can try to keep this game in the 60s they’ll have a great chance to win. However, if Texas let’s Baylor get out in transition and shoot open threes I could see this one getting away from the Longhorns.
Cover the Spread 365 Trends
Baylor is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baylor’s last 9 games
Baylor is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Baylor is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Baylor is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Texas
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
Texas is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Texas is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Texas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Texas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baylor
Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baylor
ESPN NCAA BB Scores Baylor Bears vs Texas Longhorns
When the spread for this game was released I was really surprised. With the way Baylor’s been playing I was expecting them to be favored by at least a bucket. Therefore, with them getting 3 points on the road I think this pick is a no brainer. I expect Baylor to win outright and the line on this game is just too good to pass up. Take Baylor to easily cover on the road with the points. Book it.
Pick: Baylor +3