Baltimore Ravens (3-1) at Cleveland Browns (1-2-1)
NFL Football: Sunday, October 7th, 2018 at 1:00pm ET (FirstEnergy Stadium)
Lines and Odds: Baltimore / Cleveland +3
FREE NFL PICK Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens
The Baltimore Ravens (3-1) head to FirstEnergy Stadium to take on the division-rival Cleveland Browns (1-2-1). The Ravens beat the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday Night Football to move into a tie for first place in the AFC North, sharing the crown with the Cincinnati Bengals. Cleveland lost a heart-breaker against Oakland, letting a 4th quarter lead slip away in an overtime loss.
The Baltimore Ravens covered the spread for another week against the Steelers, and now sit at 3-1 ATS on the season. Baltimore owns the head-to-head advantage in last 10 games (8-2), and have one the last 3, scoring an average of 26 points. The Ravens will get a big boost in the secondary, as they welcome back Jimmy Smith from a 4 game suspension. Baltimore comes into the game with the 3rd ranked defense in the NFL in point allowed per game, coming into the contest allowing a meager 16.3 points per game. The offense is also raking up points in bunches, scoring an average of 30.8 points per game (5th in the NFL). Joe Flacco comes in ranked 10th in the NFL is passing yards with 1.252 through 4 games.
The Cleveland Browns not only lost to Oakland, they also lost for the first time all year against the spread, bringing their mark to 3-1. Cleveland will look to reverse their recent issues at home, as they are 1-9 ATS in the last 10 home games against the Ravens. The offense will look to cut down on turnovers, as Baker Mayfield committed 4 turnovers against the Raiders. Despite the turnovers, Cleveland still sits atop the NFL in turnover margin with a plus 7. Carlos Hyde ranks 7th in the NFL in rushing yards, putting up 285 yards so far this season. Myles Garrett comes into the game with 4.5 sacks on the year, ranking 5th in the NFL.
Cover The Spread 365 Betting Trends
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Baltimore’s last 15 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland’s last 15 games when playing Baltimore
FREE NFL Prediction Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns
Baltimore comes in with more historical data to back betting them, as they have owned the Cleveland Browns for the past few years (as have most of the NFL). However, I feel like this is going to be a old-fashioned rivalry game, with a lot of hitting and points coming at a premium. The Baltimore defense should be even better with the return of Jimmy Smith, and I expect Cleveland to right the ship after an embarrassing showing last week. Prior to Oakland, Cleveland had only given up 18 points per game to the Saints, Jets, and Steelers. While I certainly can hear the argument for taking points either way, I feel much better about the over/under in this one. My prediction is the Under 45.5, buy a half-point if you must.
Prediction: Under 45.5