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Denver Broncos 2019 Win Total Free NFL Pick, Prediction and Odds

NFL Football 2019 Denver Broncos Win Total

Line and Odds: Over 7 wins -110 / Under 7 wins -110

Free NFL Pick Denver Broncos 2019 Win Total

Denver’s 2018 season got off to a positive start, but after opening the season 2-0, the team began to unravel, and they ultimately finished the year with four consecutive losses and came in third place in the AFC West.  

Although, the Broncos’ season was one of disappointments, it was not without its bright spots.  After going undrafted out of Colorado, rookie running back Phillip Lindsay had a surprising impact in 2018, finding his way to a Pro-Bowl selection by notching over 1,000 rushing yards and breaking 22 tackles.  On the defensive end of the field, All-Pro Linebacker Von Miller, continued to be one of the NFL’s top edge defenders. Another long-time defensive guru, cornerback Chris Harris Jr., shut down the slot again before going down late in the season with an injured fibula.  On the front line of Denver’s defense was underrated defensive tackle Shelby Harris, who put together one of the best defensive performances of 2018, finishing the year as one of the top 10 pass rushers in the NFL.

For the Denver Broncos, the upcoming 2019 season will represent one of renewed hopes, promoting the coming age of success.  They just might have found the right guy in newly hired Head Coach, Vic Fangio, who aims to lead the team’s rebuild. Fangio will look to carry over his impressive work in Chicago as the new head coach in Denver.  However, they are going to need to do some serious work in the 60-year-old’s first season in the Mile High City.  Fangio, who preaches both defensive perfection and structure, spent more than three decades as an NFL assistant, patiently waiting for his opportunity to become a head coach.  Now that he has been handed the reins to the franchise, Fangio will implement his direct approach in order to get the Broncos back to their winning ways.

The Broncos had a tough time moving the ball on offense last season.  A lot of that difficulty came from quarterback Case Keenum’s inability to make smart decisions.  The 6th year pro possessed the 5th worst QBR in the league last year at 46.9. This year, Denver will look to move on from last year’s offensive woes, as Joe Flacco, who was traded to the team in February, will take the field for the Broncos for the first time in September.  After spending 11 seasons in Baltimore, the Super Bowl champion and MVP will attempt to bring his leadership and experience to a Denver team that needs both of those qualities more than anything on the offensive side of the ball. The first round draft pick out of Delaware helped lead the Ravens to 7 postseason appearances.  Maybe some of that success will follow him into his career in Denver.

Although, the oddsmakers in Vegas are not very confident in the Broncos. The team is projected to win a total of 7 games, the third-lowest projected win total in the league (next lowest are 6 and 5).  They have been given a traditionally difficult schedule this year, not giving the team much time to regroup after what will most likely be an intense training camp.

Cover The Spread 365 Betting Trends:

11-21 record over the last 2 seasons

Have not surpassed projected win total in 2 seasons

Have not made the playoffs since 2015

Under 7 wins (-110):

It’s clear that the strength of a team’s schedule has a huge effect on their season. The teams with the eight toughest schedules in 2018 all received draft picks within the top 15 this past April.  Conversely, of the teams with the ten easiest schedules last season, eight made the playoffs.  

Although, a team’s strength of schedule isn’t the all-important element in determining their season outcome, there is no ignoring the fact that the AFC West is a very tough division to play in.  After advancing to the AFC Championship in 2018, the Kansas City Chiefs will look to pick up where they left off last season. As will the San Diego Chargers, who are coming off of a 12-4 season.  On top of having to play both of those teams twice in 2019, the Broncos have 7 games scheduled against 2018 playoff teams, in addition to meetings with the revamped Browns and Raiders.

Over 7 wins (-110):

However, their head coaching change might be just the adjustment that they have been needing.  Fangio brings an overall focus that has been absent from the Denver locker room. Additionally, having recently joined the ranks, Flacco should have every opportunity to provide stability to the Denver offense, and will be aided by the rushing ability of 2nd year back Phillip Lindsay.  If their defense continues to remain one of the most elite units in the NFL, Denver might surprise even the most knowledgeable people in Vegas and rattle off 8 or more victories.  

Free NFL Prediction Denver Broncos Win Total

Denver’s list of needs is appropriate for a team that is 11-21 over the last two seasons.  To put it simply, the Broncos need more good players. They have huge voids left by various departed stars that have yet to be filled.  It makes no sense to acquire 34-year-old Joe Flacco and have him attempt to lead the charge in what is definitely a rebuilding year. While he has reached the pinnacle of NFL glory, Flacco has not had a QBR over 60.0 in the past 4 seasons.  Unless the Broncos’ offense is able to display some semblance of efficiency this year, expect them to be headed toward another top-10 pick in 2020.

Pick: Under (-110)

Denver Broncos 2019 Schedule / Credit: Pinterest