Week 6: 2019 NFL Season (100th NFL Season)
Sunday, Oct. 13, 2019 @ 1:00 p.m. ET (Arrowhead Stadium)
Over/Under: 55; Chiefs -4 (-110)
Best Moneyline: Texans +195, Chiefs -205
In Sunday's week 6 matchup between the Houston Texans (3-2) and Kansas City Chiefs (4-1), the Texans are aiming to become the second AFC South team to upset a top contender this season, while the Chiefs are trying to rebound and begin 5-1 for the third consecutive year. The gametime weather forecast is 69 degrees Fahrenheit, with winds blowing at 9 mph SW. This intriguing week 6 matchup will be televised on CBS. Additionally, Kansas City leads the all-time series head-to-head record 6-4 over Houston. The Chiefs won the previous meeting 42-34 on Oct. 8, 2017, but the Texans won 19-12 on Sept. 18, 2016. Kansas City is also 1-0 against Houston in the post-season. The Texans lost 30-0 in the wild card round on Jan. 9, 2016. Moreover, in the Texans' 53-32 high-scoring victory over the Atlanta Falcons, quarterback Deshaun Watson passed for 426 yards, was 28/33 on pass attempts, and threw 5 touchdowns to 0 interceptions. Watson's total QBR in this game was 98.2.
This was statistically one of his best games of his NFL career. Running back Carlos Hyde had 21 carries for 60 yards, scoring one touchdown, and Duke Johnson had 9 carries for 59 yards as well. Wide receiver Will Fuller V made 14 receptions for 217 yards and a whopping three touchdowns. Those that played Fuller V on their fantasy team must have had a terrific day overall. DeAndre Hopkins made 7 receptions for 88 yards, too. For other in-depth team statistics, Houston had 31 first downs, 166 rushing yards, 592 total yards, one turnover, and a time of possession of 31:00. As what the final score indicates, it was an offensive battle. Nevertheless, Houston's defense still allowed 32 points and 373 total yards, which is awful for any potential playoff contender. It still needs some work.
Meanwhile, in the Chiefs' 19-13 loss to the Indianapolis Colts, quarterback Patrick Mahomes passed for 321 yards, was 22/39 on pas attempts, and threw 1 touchdown to 0 interceptions. Mahomes' total QBR in this one was 58. Thus far, Sunday night's game was the lowest scoring performance of Mahomes' NFL career. Running back Damien Williams rushed for 23 yards on 9 carries, while wide receiver Byron Pringle made 6 receptions for 103 yards and one touchdown. Mecole Hardman had 4 receptions for 79 yards. For other team statistics, the Chiefs only had 18 first downs, 36 rushing yards, 324 total yards, one turnover, and a time of possession of 22:45.
Indianapolis used Bill Belichick's old blueprint to beat this high-scoring super bowl contender: run the ball, own the time of possession, limit turnovers, play situational football while putting pressure on the quarterback upfront, and keep Mahomes off the field. If Head Coach Andy Reid fails to make the necessary adjustments this time around, there could be more teams using this game plan to shutdown KC's offense in the upcoming future. When push comes to shove, having an elite defense is vital to winning an NFL championship and surviving in this league come time to January. The organization has a lot more to improve upon before they can knock off more sophisticated and complete football teams in either conference. Having roster depth on both sides of the ball is also imperative.
The Houston Texans' Betting Trends showcases their exceptional record in the past five games played in October
The Houston Texans are 5-0 SU in their last five games played in the month of October. They are also 4-1 SU in the team's previous five games played in week 6, and Houston is 7-13 ATS in the past twenty games played versus AFC West opponents. Not to mention, the total has gone over in four of the Texans' last five games played on the road. The total has also gone under in six of the team's previous seven games against an AFC team. In five games played in 2019, Deshaun Watson has passed for 1,364 yards, has a completion percentage of 69.2%, thrown 11 touchdowns to 1 interception, and has a passer-rating of 115.9. When the MVP discussion is aired on some episodes of ESPN and NFL Network, the popular names being tossed around is Patrick Mahomes, Christian McCaffrey, and Russell Wilson. However, Watson has a good case right now, especially if he plays well enough to defeat the Chiefs in Kansas City. The odds are against them, once again, but it could still happen. According to the Vegas Insider NFL odds, the Houston Texans have 5/4 odds to win the AFC South, 20/1 odds to win the AFC championship, and 40/1 odds to win Super Bowl LIV. Houston has the best odds to win the AFC South, just ahead of the Indianapolis Colts (8/5). The Texans also rank behind the New England Patriots (2/3), Kansas City Chiefs (9/4), and Baltimore Ravens (15/1) for AFC championship odds. Having watched the Colts vs. Chiefs game on Sunday Night Football, it appears Indianapolis will be Houston's top competitor for the division title, at least at the moment.
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