Indianapolis Colts (10-6) @ Houston Texans (11-5)
January 5, 2019 4:35 PM ET (NRG Stadium)
Line: Indianapolis Colts +100 Houston Texans -120
Spread: Houston Texans -1.5
The Indianapolis Colts have had a drastic defensive turnaround under defensive coordinator Matt Eberflus who has the Colts ranked in the top ten and has yet to allow a 100-yard rusher on the season. Darius Leonard will most likely be defensive rookie of the year and perhaps should’ve been a pro bowler and leads the league in tackles and has seven sacks, two interceptions and four forced fumbles in his rookie year. It looks as if the Colts will get back center Ryan Kelly and has returned to practice after a suffering a neck injury and Indianapolis will have their starting offensive line together for the first time since November 17. Since week 7 Andrew Luck has been one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL ranking second in QBR.
The Houston Texans have been led offensively by DeAndre Hopkins who has yet to have a drop this season with 115 catches with zero dropsand had 25 contested catches this year which lead the NFL. Deshaun Watson appears to be fully healthy after his torn ACL last year and after a slow start to his season he has been by far at his best heading into the playoffs in December he went for 1,358 yards and six passing touchdowns and no interceptions in addition to three rushing touchdowns and completed 72.7% of his passes in five games including four of those against top 12 scoring defenses. Watson has been sacked 62 times this season which is fifth most in NFL history. The Texans have scored at least 17 points in every game this season and has scored at least 20 points in their last seven games and is averaging 29 points per game against Indianapolis in their two games this year.
Cover the Spread 365 Trends
Indianapolis is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Indianapolis’s last 14 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 3-8-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Indianapolis
Houston is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
This will be the third matchup of the season between these two teams with each having won their matchup when they were on the road and Indianapolis winning the most recent game by a score of 24-21 with the Colts snapping Houston’s nine game winning streak. This will feature two great quarterbacks with Watson making his playoff debut. This game should mostly see the passing game dominate and with both teams being tough to stop. Look for each team to start slow but finish with a flurry of points that should get the total to hit the over in this game especially with each quarterback familiar with the opposing defense and both quarterbacks putting up big passing numbers and TY Hilton and DeAndre Hopkins each having big scoring plays.