New England Patriots (10-2) vs. Miami Dolphins (5-7)

Free NFL Game: Monday December 11th, 8:30 PM @Hard Rock Stadium

Spread: Patriots -10.5, Dolphins +11

Over/Under: 48

FREE NFL GAME PICK: PATRIOTS VS. DOLPHINS

The New England Patriots come into this game with a record of 10-2. The Patriots have won 8 straight games after starting the season 2-2. The reason this team is 10-2 is because of their offense. New England is averaging 29 points per game this season. The reason for this success on offense is no other than Tom Brady. Brady is 40 years old, and has thrown for 3632 yards with 26 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Brady could finish this season with the greatest season of anyone over the age of 40. New England has also been playing great defense this year. They are giving up just 18.6 points per game this season.

The Miami Dolphins are 5-7 this season. Miami’s starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill tore his ACL before the season started. This forced the Dolphins to make a move, and they signed Jay Cutler who had retired at the end of last season. Cutler has thrown for 1837 yards 15 touchdowns and 11 interceptions in just 10 games this season. The problem for Miami has been their offense, they are averaging just 17.4 points per game and giving up 24.8 a game. Miami’s defense will need to show up if they want a chance to beat New England.

Cover The Spread 365 Trends

New England

New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England’s last 8 games

New England is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road

Miami

Miami is 1-4-2 ATS in its last 7 games

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 5 games

Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New England

FREE NFL GAME PREDICTION: DOLPHINS VS PATRIOTS

We like the Patriots to win this game even with Gronk being suspended for this game. Miami just doesn’t have the firepower to put consistent points on the board against elite teams. And we all know Tom Brady and company are elite. Our stats and projections tell us to expect a tight first half and then your typical second half pull away by Bill Belichick.