Week 3: 2019 NFL Season (100th NFL Season)
Sunday, Sept. 22, 2019 @ 4:25 p.m. ET (CenturyLink Field)
Over/Under: 44.5; Seahawks -4.5 (-110)
Best Moneyline: +190 Saints, -220 Seahawks
In this week 3 inner-conference matchup between the New Orleans Saints (1-1) and Seattle Seahawks (2-0), the Seahawks are aiming to remain undefeated, while the Saints are striving to salvage the first half of their schedule until starting quarterback Drew Brees returns from injury. The gametime weather forecast is 63 degrees Fahrenheit, with winds blowing at 7 mph S. This week 3 game will be televised on CBS. The Seahawks lead the all-time series head-to-head record against the Saints 8-7, and this team has won three of the past five games versus New Orleans. However, Seattle lost the previous meeting 25-20 on Oct. 30, 2016. The Seahawks have not beaten the Saints since their 23-15, Jan. 11, 2014 divisional round victory. Prior to this past hand injury mishap against the Los Angeles Rams, Brees sustained just two other notable injuries in his NFL career: a bruised right rotator cuff injury in 2015 and a torn right plantar fascia in December the same season. However, this current injury for Brees could be more serious than what the Saints' organization is letting on. He tore a ligament in the thumb of his throwing hand, and the 40-year-old quarterback is expected to miss at least six weeks. According to Medical News Today and Healthline, more serious thumb injuries involving a torn ligament can take between 6 to 12 weeks, or longer to heal. It might take longer for older baseball pitchers and quarterbacks to fully recover from an injury like this. Anyways, in the Saints' 27-9 loss on the road to the Los Angeles Rams, Drew Brees passed for 38 yards, was 3/5 on passes, and threw 0 touchdowns to 1 interception prior to his injury.
Backup quarterback Teddy Bridgewater came into the game shortly after and passed for 165 yards, was 17/30 on pass attempts, and threw 0 touchdowns to 0 interceptions. Bridgewater's total QBR in this matchup was 10.8. In all fairness, Bridgewater had some huge shoes to fill, in such a short notice. Running back Alvin Kamara rushed for 45 yards on 13 carries. Even with Brees out, wide receiver Michael Thomas made 10 receptions for 89 yards. New Orleans had 244 total yards and one turnover, whereas Seattle had 380 total yards and one turnover as well. Aside from the Saints' 11 penalties for 87 yards in comparison to the Rams' 8 penalties for 65 yards, what ultimately lost the Saints this game was not having Drew Brees. In the Seahawks' 28-26 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers, quarterback Russell Wilson passed for 300 yards, was 29/35 on pass attempts, and threw 3 touchdowns to 0 interceptions. His total QBR was 74.6. Like Brees, Steelers' quarterback Ben Roethlisberger also suffered a serious injury on Sunday. Big Ben sustained a right elbow injury, which is part of his throwing arm, earlier against Seattle. He will miss the remainder of the 2019 season. For other Seahawks' player stats, running back Rashaad Penny scored one touchdown and rushed for 62 yards on 10 carries. Wide receiver Tyler Lockett made 10 receptions for 79 yards, after being targeted 12 times throughout the game. Seattle had two turnovers, stemming from two lost fumbles, while Pittsburgh had one turnover from backup quarterback Mason Rudolph's interception. The Seahawks had 425 total yards, 25 first downs, and a time of possession of 35:46, whereas the Steelers had 261 total yards, 17 first downs, and a time of possession of 24:14.
The New Orleans Saints' Betting Trends unmasks their struggles against the Seahawks at CenturyLink Field
The New Orleans Saints are 1-5 SU in in their previous six games when playing on the road versus the Seahawks. New Orleans is also 0-5 in the last five games against an NFC opponent, and they are 4-1 SU in the previous five games played in the month of September. Plus, the total has gone under in seven of the Saints' last eight games played on the road. In week 3 games, New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in the last six games played. Furthermore, after losing Drew Brees for at least six weeks, the organization's championship odds dropped dramatically. Reported by SportsBookWire, according to the BETMGM, the Saints had +800 odds to win the super bowl, which was tied with the Kansas City Chiefs. Their odds are expected to drop beyond +2,000. Vegas Insider currently has the Saints listed at 10/1 for them to win the NFC championship and 20/1 odds to win Super Bowl LIV. While referencing The Action Network's "Updated 2019 NFL Win Totals & Odds" article, their win total was set at 10.5 at the beginning of the regular season. The current win total odds are 10.5 wins (over +135/under -150). This might be subject to change, though.
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