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New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Game Preview, Pick & Odds

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New Orleans Saints (7-2, 1st in NFC South)

vs.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-6, 3rd in NFC South)

Sunday, November 17, 2019 @ 1 PM EST

Raymond James Stadium (Tampa, FL)

Moneyline: NO (-240), TB (+200)

Spread: NO -5.5 (-115), TB +5.5 (-105)

Total: Over/Under 49.5 (-110)

Odds courtesy of MyBookie

Game Preview: New Orleans Saints

The Saints are coming off of a huge letdown against the Falcons, as they lost 26-9 last week as a 13.5-point home favorite. Their biggest issues last week were their lack of pass protection and lack of a run game, as they allowed a season-high six sacks and ran for a season-low 52 yards. They also allowed 143 rushing yards against the Falcons, which was the first time they’d allowed 100+ rushing yards since Week 3. It was also the third time the Saints had been held without a touchdown this year, which is shocking, considering they have a two-game lead over the Panthers at the top of the NFC South. Defensively, the Saints struggled a lot against the run and could be without defensive back Marshon Lattimore, who suffered a hamstring injury in last week’s loss. The Saints will also be without starting left guard Andrus Peat for the foreseeable future after Peat broke a bone in his left arm.

Game Preview: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa Bay snapped its four-game losing streak last week, thanks to a 92-yard, game-winning touchdown drive to beat the Cardinals 30-27. Not only did they snap their four-game losing streak, the Buccaneers also got their first win at home since Week 13 of last season. Tampa Bay has all the firepower to keep up with the Saints offense, as they have the third-highest scoring offense in the NFL, putting up an average of 28.9 PPG. They’ve not been held to under 20 points since their Week 1 loss to the 49ers. The question mark that looms each week, though, will be whether or not the Bucs defense will be able to slow down their opponent. They’ve allowed 27+ points in all but one game this season, and rank dead last in scoring defense (31 PPG). The Buccaneers have also turned the ball over 21 times this year, which puts them at 31st in the NFL, trailing only the Giants.

The Pick

I like the Saints to win this game, but the Buccaneers offense has been too good to ignore. I think the Saints’ secondary could struggle without Marshon Lattimore and the Buccaneers high-scoring offense should be able to take advantage of that. The reason I’m still picking the Saints to win is that the Saints have won 12 of their last 15 games against Tampa Bay, and I think Drew Brees will elevate his performance in what will be just his third game since Week 2.

Buccaneers +5.5 (-105)

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