Week 6: 2019 NFL Season (100th NFL Season)
Thursday, Oct. 10, 2019 @ 8:20 p.m. ET (Gillette Stadium)
Over/Under: 42.5; Patriots -16 (-113)
Best Moneyline: Giants +760, Patriots -950
In week 6’s Thursday Night Football matchup between the New York Giants (2-3) and New England Patriots (5-0), the Giants are striving to improve their record to .500, while the Patriots are aiming to remain undefeated. This TNF game can be watched live on NFL Network, Amazon Prime, and Fox. The gametime weather forecast at Gillette Stadium is 49 degrees Fahrenheit, with winds blowing at 15 mph NE. The current head-to-head series all-time record is tied at 6-6. New England won the last meeting on Nov. 15, 2015 at MetLife Stadium, with a final score of 27-26. Of course, this was back when the Patriots had tight end Rob Gronkowski and healthy kicker Stephen Gostkowski. Not to mention, an inferior defense. That could have been Eli Manning’s final game against the New England Patriots in his career.
Plus, New York has not won a regular season or post-season game versus New England since Super Bowl XLVI. The Giants are one of the few teams quarterback Tom Brady and Head Coach Bill Belichick have struggled against since 2007. Then again, these teams only play one another once every four seasons, unless it was in the super bowl. The sample size is small. Brady is 3-3 (.500) in his career versus the Giants. Moreover, in the Giants’ 28-10 loss to the Minnesota Vikings in week 5, new starting quarterback Daniel Jones passed for 182 yards, was 21/38 on pass attempts, and threw 1 touchdown to 1 interception. His total QBR was 31.7 in this game. Running back Johnathan Hilliman had 9 carries for 20 yards and Elijhaa Penny finished his game with 3 carries for 15 yards. Wide receiver Darius Slayton made 4 receptions for 62 yards, scoring one touchdown as well. Sterling Shepard also made 5 receptions for 49 yards.
For other team stats, New York finished their Sunday afternoon with 18 first downs, 64 rushing yards, 211 total yards, one turnover, and a time of possession of 27:20. This was one of the few games the Giants were definitely missing running back Saquon Barkley. One should not expect a rookie quarterback to carry this team to immediate wins. To add insult to injury, New York’s defense allowed 490 total yards. The G-Men will not win football games if the coaching staff does not improve the weak secondary. While the benching of Eli Manning might help New York in the long run, injuries are still taking a toll on this team. Head Coach Pat Shurmur is also failing to make halftime adjustments, especially when necessary. As for the Patriots and their 33-7 win over the Washington Redskins in week 5, quarterback Tom Brady passed for 348 yards, was 28/42 on pass attempts, and threw 3 touchdowns to 1 interception.
Brady’s total QBR in this matchup was 55.3. Running back Sony Michel had 16 carries for 91 yards, scoring one touchdown, while James White had 6 carries for 26 yards. Wide receiver Julian Edelman made 8 receptions for 110 yards, scoring one touchdown, and Josh Gordon made 5 receptions for 59 yards. For other team statistics, New England had 23 first downs, 130 rushing yards, 442 total yards, one turnover, and a time of possession of 31:52. Washington’s offense was held to 75 passing yards and 11 first downs overall. Aside from allowing the one rushing touchdown earlier in the first half, the Patriots’ defense played fantastic. They have not given up a passing touchdown so far this season. Regardless of which AFC teams they have played, this is no easy task for any defense.
The New York Giants’ Betting Trends exposes the team’s below .500 record in the previous six games played in the month of October
The New York Giants are 0-6 SU in the past six games played in the month of October. The total has also gone over in five of the Giants’ previous six games played on a Thursday, and the team is 1-5 SU in their last six games played against an AFC opponent. Additionally, the total has gone under in seven of New York’s last nine games played versus AFC East opponents. According to the Vegas Insider NFL betting odds, the Giants have 250/1 odds to win the NFC championship and 500/1 odds to win Super Bowl LIV. Despite their highly unfavorable odds this season, quarterback Daniel Jones could be the real deal. So far this season, Jones has passed for 760 yards, has a completion percentage of 64.2%, and has thrown 4 touchdowns to 3 interceptions. He might remind some sports bettors and football enthusiasts of a young Eli Manning. However, more game tape might be needed before anyone should rush to any quick quarterback comparisons. This is just simply a generalization.
While referencing The Action Network’s “Updated 2019 NFL Win Totals & Betting Odds” article, the Giants are projected to win 6 games this season. Their current odds are 6 wins (over +110./under -120). In 2018, the team concluded their season 5-11, ranking forth in the NFC East and missing the playoffs. After playing the Patriots, New York’s schedule is mostly favorable. They have to play the Arizona Cardinals, Detroit Lions, New York Jets, Chicago Bears, Green Bay Packers, Miami Dolphins, and their divisional rivals. No games are guaranteed wins in the National Football League, but the Jets, Dolphins, and Cardinals could be three more potential wins for the Giants. Not to mention, playing the Redskins again in Week 16. Upon further review of the injury report, WR Russell Shepard and CB Sam Beal are on IR. LB Alec Ogletree, TE Evan Engram, LB Lorenzo Carter, and LB Tae Davis are all listed as questionable for Thursday Night Football. RB Saquon Barkley and WR Sterling Shepard are listed as doubtful for the game as well. LB Ryan Connelly is also out for the remainder of the season due to an ACL injury, and TE Isaiah Searight is out for the next four games due to a suspension.
The New England Patriots’ Betting Trends showcases an unbeaten record against NFC opponents in the past five meetings
The New England Patriots are 5-0 SU in their first five games so far this season. The Patriots have not started their season 5-0 since the 2015 season, when the team finished 12-4. New England is also 5-0 ATS in the past five games versus an NFC team, and they are 6-1 ATS in the last seven games played in the month of October. Furthermore, the total has gone under in four of the Patriots’ last six games played on a Thursday, and the total has gone over in six of New England’s previous seven games played in week 6. Anyways, while this is not Tom Brady at his best, he is still playing great for a 42-year-old quarterback in the NFL. Brady has passed for 1,409 yards, has a completion percentage of 63.1%, and has thrown 10 touchdowns to 2 interceptions so far in this 2019 season. In Sunday’s game against the Redskins, he passed Brett Favre to move up into third all-time in career passing yards (71,923 yards). Retrieved from the same aforementioned Vegas Insider NFL odds source, the Patriots have 2/3 odds of winning the AFC championship and 9/5 odds of winning Super Bowl LIV. The Kansas City Chiefs‘ 19-13 loss to the Indianapolis Colts on SNF was the biggest upset of the season so far. Homefield advantage in the playoffs is imperative for top AFC and NFC contenders. While referencing the same The Action Network’s 2019 NFL win totals odds article, the Patriots are projected to win 11 games this season.
Their current odds are 11 wins (over -125/under +115). New England’s schedule is quite weak in the first half of the season. Having said that, after playing the Giants at home, they have to play the Cleveland Browns, Baltimore Ravens, Philadelphia Eagles, Dallas Cowboys, Houston Texans, and Kansas City Chiefs. The Cowboys and Browns, although inconsistent, have moments of looking like playoff contenders. These two teams’ coaching staffs are wanting to see more from their quarterbacks, though. If the Patriots play their cards right and most starters remain healthy, specifically the offense line, New England could win at least 13 games this season. With this defense, who knows? Speaking of elite defenses, the Buffalo Bills are giving them great competition in the AFC East. The Patriots have the number one defense in the NFL right now, but the Bills are top three in scoring defense. After evaluating the injury report, K Stephen Gostkowski, RB James Develin, C David Andrews, T Isaiah Wynn, WR N’Keal Harry, and G Hjalte Froholdt are all on IR. S Patrick Chung, S Nate Ebner, and RB Rex Burkhead are listed as questionable for Thursday Night Football. LB Brandon King is also out indefinitely.
Cover The Spread 365 Week 6 NFL Betting Trends
New York Giants
NY Giants are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.
NY Giants are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games.
NY Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against New England.
NY Giants are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games on the road.
NY Giants are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the AFC conference.
New England Patriots
New England is 7-2 ATS in the team’s last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England’s last 6 games.
New England is 10-0 SU in the team’s last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England’s last 7 games against NY Giants.
New England is 18-0 SU in the team’s last 18 games at home.
Free NFL Expert Picks New England Patriots vs. New York Giants Predictions
In the previous three head-to-head meetings, the Giants are 2-1 against the Patriots. They are 3-0 ATS, 1-2 O/U, and average 101.67 rushing yards per game. New York also averaged one turnover per game. New England averaged 88.67 rushing yards, a 61.36 completion percentage, 309 passing yards, 397.67 total yards, and 2.33 turnovers versus the Giants in these three games. Even when the Patriots played them on Nov. 15, 2015, New England still had two turnovers. If it is any consolation for Patriots’ nation, the Eli Manning-Tom Coughlin era is over. The common denominators have been thrown out of this football equation. Sports bettors can play the “what if” game all day long between these two teams.
At times, it can be fun. Nevertheless, revisionist history is useless. According to Pro Football Reference’s scoring defense statistics, the Patriots rank 1st in the league overall, allowing only 6.8 points per game, while the Giants rank 24th, allowing 25 points per game. In terms of scoring offense, the Patriots rank 3rd, averaging 31.8 points per game in the league, whereas the Giants rank 24th again, averaging 19.4 points per game offensively. In the end, David Jones is now starting, Eli Manning is benched, Bill Belichick is still Bill Belichick, Tom Brady is still throwing perfect spirals, and the G-Men’s defense is looking awful right now. New England should have no major problems winning this game by at least a couple touchdowns. If this defense keeps it up, they could shatter numerous NFL records. Pick the Patriots and take the under. New Patriots’ kicker Mike Nugent is the wild card factor here. How many will he miss?