NFL Betting: How Should You Bet In Week 5
The NFL is the most unpredictable league on a week to week basis. We thought the Vikings would stomp the Bills, but it ended up being the other way around. And then the next week in what some thought could be a matchup of great defenses, the Vikings had a shootout with the Rams. In other words, most of the time we know what to expect from most NFL games, but there are always a few that leave us clueless.
The over/under in this game is 48, which seems fair given how good the Chiefs have been offensively and the Jags have been defensively. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs’ offense have been firing on all cylinders, but they have to come back down to Earth at some point. We saw them struggle in the first half last week against the Broncos, but they stormed back in the 4th quarter and got right back into their groove. I don’t think that will happen against Jacksonville. If they get down by a considerable amount, they aren’t coming back. The Jags are just too good on defense.
I hesitate to trust Blake Bortles in a betting situation, but I feel it is a good time to bet against the Chiefs and with the Jaguars.
Pick: Jacksonville (+3)
If you like points, this is the football game for you to watch this week. The over/under here is 58 and I am still going with the over. The Falcons scored 36 last week against a team with a better defense than the Steelers. The Falcons gave up 37 last week to a team with a better offense than the Steelers. The game will be played outside in Pittsburgh, but that will not stop the sparks from flying. Both of these defenses cannot stop a nosebleed at the moment. Atlanta is down at least 4 of their best players on defense. Pittsburgh’s best starters at cornerback are Artie Burns, who has almost been benched already this season, and Joe Haden, who’s career has been in decline since he last made the Pro Bowl in 2014.
Two of the top-4 wide receivers in the league will be playing in this game. So will Julio Jones. (I’m kidding.) Antonio Brown and Julio Jones are two of the best athletes we’ve ever seen play the position, and JuJu Smith-Schuster and Calvin Ridley will get their fair share of targets in this game as well. Along with Devonta Freeman coming back from injury, these are star-studded offenses playing bad defenses that give up a lot of points on a weekly basis.
I’m taking the over here without hesitation. I have no idea who the better team is, so I’m staying away from the money line and the spread in this game.
Pick: Over 58