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Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons Game Preview, Pick & Odds

Seattle Seahawks (5-2)


Atlanta Falcons (1-6)

Sunday, October 27, 2019 @ 1 PM EST

Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, GA)

Spread: SEA -7.5 (-105), ATL +7.5 (-115)

Total: Over 52.5 (-115)/Under 52.5 (-105)

Odds courtesy of MyBookie

Game Preview

After a 1-1 start, the Falcons have lost five straight games and have been outscored 175-109 in those five losses. Atlanta has found itself with the 4th-worst record in the NFL at 1-6 and they’re currently one of only two teams to have given up 200 or more points so far. The other team is obviously the Miami Dolphins, and that’s not the kind of company you want to be in this year, as the Dolphins have had a historically bad defense so far. Atlanta may be entering a rebuilding phase, as they just traded veteran wide receiver Mohamed Sanu to the Patriots for a second-round draft pick, and may be without Matt Ryan at QB this week, who has started 154 consecutive games for them.

The Falcons defense has been abysmal in the past three games, surrendering almost 472 yards and over 41 points per game. They’ve yet to hold a team to less than 20 points and I don’t see that happening this week against a solid Seahawks offense and a red-hot Russel Wilson.

The Seahawks just had their 3-game win streak snapped by Lamar Jackson and the Ravens last week in a 30-16 loss. They’re still 5-2 and near the top in the NFC, with their two losses coming by a combined 20 points. However, four of their five wins have come by a total of eight points. So you’ve got to think they’re looking for a confidence-boosting win over a slumping Falcons team that looks to be selling assets and may have Matt Schaub starting at QB on Sunday.

Speaking of quarterbacks, Matt Ryan and Russell Wilson have both had incredible statistical seasons so far. Ryan ranks third in completion percentage (70.9%), second in passing yards (2,170) and tied for first in touchdown passes (15), and Wilson ranks sixth in completion percentage (68.3%), 10th in passing yards (1,945) and is tied with Ryan and Patrick Mahomes with 15 touchdown passes. Where Ryan and Wilson differ drastically is in ball security. Matt Ryan is tied for the third-most in the NFL with eight interceptions, whereas, Russel Wilson just threw his first interception of the season last week.

Unfortunately for the Falcons, they could be without Matt Ryan, as he is listed as a game-time decision at this point. He returned to practice this morning as a limited participant, so that may be an encouraging sign for Atlanta. Coach Dan Quinn said that Ryan will either start or be inactive, so he will not be coming off the bench.

The Pick

These are two teams going in completely opposite directions, with the Seahawks looking to stay near the top of the NFC and the Falcons trading away one of the most productive slot receivers in the past few seasons for a draft pick. If Matt Ryan is able to go, that will certainly help the Falcons chances, but I still like the Seahawks to take this game and cover.

Betting Trends

The TOTAL has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta’s last 8 games against Seattle

The TOTAL has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 HOME games against Seattle

Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games

Seattle is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 ROAD games

Seattle -7.5 (-105)