Week 6: 2019 NFL Season (100th NFL Season)
Sunday, Oct. 13, 2019 @ 1:00 p.m. ET (FirstEnergy Stadium)
Over/Under: 47.5; Seahawks -1.5 (-125)
Best Moneyline: Seahawks -125, Browns +115
In Sunday’s week 6 matchup between the Seattle Seahawks (4-1) and Cleveland Browns (2-3), Seattle is attempting to improve to 5-1 for the first time since their 2013 championship season, while Cleveland is aiming for a record above .500. The gametime weather forecast at FirstEnergy Stadium is 63 degrees Fahrenheit, with winds blowing at 18 mph SSW. This afternoon potential thriller will be aired on Fox. Furthermore, the Seahawks lead the all-time head-to-head record 12-6 over the Browns. Seattle won the pervious meeting 30-13 on Dec. 20, 2015, but Cleveland won two other games in the past three: 6-3 on Oct. 23, 2011 and 33-30 in overtime on Nov. 4, 2007. Moreover, in the Seahawks’ 30-29 victory over the Los Angeles Rams in week 5, quarterback Russell Wilson passed for 268 yards, was 17/23 on pass attempts, and threw 4 touchdowns to 0 interceptions.
Wilson’s total QBR in this divisional rivalry game was 92.6. Running back Chris Carson had 27 carries for 118 yards, while Wilson himself had 8 carries for 32 yards. Tight end Will Dissly made 4 receptions for 81 yards. Plus, Tyler Lockett finished Thursday Night Football with 4 receptions for 51 yards, scoring one touchdown as well. For other more in-depth team statistics, the Seahawks had 25 first downs, 167 rushing yards, 429 total yards, one turnover, and a time of possession of 35:18. Aside from the lost fumble in the first quarter and Head Coach Pete Carroll’s coaching miscues, particularly on that forth down late in the forth quarter, this was Seattle’s best overall performance of the 2019 season so far.
Both the Seahawks and Rams ran a total of 67 offensive plays. While Rams’ kicker Greg Zuerlein missing the game-winning field goal contributed to Seattle’s home victory, Wilson still played lights out. Meanwhile, the Browns are trying to bounce back from their humiliating 31-3 pounding against the San Francisco 49ers on Monday Night Football. Quarterback Baker Mayfield passed for 100 yards, was 8/22 on pass attempts, and threw 0 touchdowns to 2 interceptions. Mayfield’s total QBR was a pedestrian 1.4. Running back Nick Chubb had 16 carries for 87 yards. Wide Receiver Jarvis Landry made 4 receptions for 75 yards, whereas Odell Beckham Jr. had 2 receptions for 27 yards.
For other team statistics, Cleveland only had 9 total first downs, 102 rushing yards, 180 total yards, four turnovers, and a time of possession of 22:17. Thus far, this was statistically one of the worst performances of Mayfield’s NFL career, especially on primetime. The Browns also had seven penalties for 55 yards. There was nothing shown on the field in this game that would lead to Browns’ fans feeling hopeful for the team’s future. It is the inconsistencies and poor game planning from Head Coach Freddie Kitchens that could cost this AFC North team a playoff spot, if the coaches fail to make the necessary adjustments as soon as possible. A win against the Seahawks might be the “must-win game” needed for the organization to help boost the low morale.
The Seattle Seahawks’ Betting Trends presents a favorable record against AFC opponents
The Seattle Seahawks are 4-1 SU in their previous five games played versus AFC teams. They are also 5-0 SU in the past five games against AFC North opponents, and they are 6-2 ATS in the last eight games played in the month of October. Not to mention, the total has gone over in five of Seattle’s past seven games played in week 6. Moreover, Russell Wilson is having quite the MVP season so far. He has passed for 1,409 yards, has a completion percentage of 73.1%, has thrown 12 touchdowns to 0 interceptions, and has a career-high average passer-rating of 126.3. Wilson is competing against Patrick Mahomes and Christian McCaffrey for the award right now. However, most players would much rather earn a super bowl ring. The MVP and Madden cover curses are a real thing. Next, according to the Vegas Insider NFL betting odds, the Seattle Seahawks have 11/5 odds of winning the NFC West, 8/1 odds of winning the NFC championship, and 18/1 odds of winning Super Bowl LIV. Seattle trails behind the San Francisco 49ers (6/5) and Los Angeles Rams (2/1) for odds to win the division. Though, the Rams look as if they are following apart right now due to injuries; only time will tell if this theory is true. While referencing The Action Network’s “Updated 2019 NFL Win Totals & Odds” article, the Seahawks have a projected win total of 8.5 games this season.
Their current odds are 8.5 wins (over -125/under +103). In 2018, the Seahawks concluded their season 10-6, ranking second in the NFC West and making the playoffs as a wild card team, but they later lost to the Dallas Cowboys 24-22. Following the Browns’ game this Sunday, the Seahawks have to face the Baltimore Ravens, Atlanta Falcons, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Philadelphia Eagles, Minnesota Vikings, Carolina Panthers, and their divisional rivals. For now, some sports bettors are not sure what to think of the San Francisco 49ers. They are the only unbeaten NFC team at 4-0, but fans and football experts might not be sold on them just yet. Upon further review of the injury report, TE Ed Dickson, DT Nazair Jones, and G Jordan Simmons are all on IR. T Duane Brown and C Ethan Pocic are listed as questionable for this week. G D.J. Fluker was upgraded to probable, while WR David Moore is out indefinitely due to a shoulder injury. DT Jarran Reed is still suspended for this upcoming game; he will be eligible to return next week for the Ravens’ game at CenturyLink Field.
The Cleveland Browns’ Betting Trends showcases a discouraging record versus NFC West opponents
The Cleveland Browns are 1-8 SU in their past nine games played against NFC West teams. They are also 1-16 SU in the previous seventeen games played in October, and the total has gone over in the Browns’ last seven games played in week 6. Cleveland is 3-9 ATS in their past twelve games when playing as selected favorites as well. So, the Browns are better off playing their next several games as underdogs. They rarely ever perform at their best when they are favored to win the game. Additionally, Baker Mayfield has passed for 1,247 yards, has a completion percentage of 55.9%, has thrown 4 touchdowns to 8 interceptions, and has a passer-rating of 68.5. Let it be known, this could be Mayfield’s sophomore slump. It should not take a Bill Belichick-like coach to figure that one out. Sometimes, less is more. Perhaps, the Browns have too many big name players on their roster right now. Where there is lots of media hype, this will elevate expectations. Back in the offseason, everyone should have lowered their expectations. Now is the best time for the entire organization to feel humbled with this much available player talent. While referencing the same aforementioned Vegas Insider NFL odds source, Cleveland has 9/5 odds to win the AFC North, 30/1 odds to win the AFC championship, and 60/1 odds to win Super Bowl LIV.
The only team with better odds of winning the AFC North is the Baltimore Ravens (4/7). Retrieved from the same The Action Network’s NFL updated win total article, Cleveland is projected to win 9 games this season. Their current odds are 9 wins (over +105/under -115). At the moment, it is starting to look like some bettors should have taken the under. Following the Seahawks’ game, the Browns get a bye week. Then, they have to stay focus for a few crucial games. The team then has to play the New England Patriots, Denver Broncos, Buffalo Bills, Miami Dolphins, Arizona Cardinals, and their other divisional rivals. While they should win over the Dolphins and Cardinals, nothing is guaranteed in this league. After evaluating the injury report, QB Drew Stanton, LB Christian Kirksey, TE David Njoku, T Drew Forbes, and LB Willie Harvey are all on IR. T Kendall Lamm, WR Rashard Higgins, CB Denzel Ward, CB Greedy Williams, and S Sheldrick Redwine are all listed as probable for Sunday’s home game. Kareem Hunt will not be eligible to return until Nov. 10 versus the Buffalo Bills.
Cover The Spread 365 Week 6 NFL Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Seattle’s last 14 games.
Seattle is 4-1 SU in the team’s last 5 games.
Seattle is 6-2 SU in the team’s last 8 games against Cleveland.
Seattle is 6-1 ATS in the team’s last 7 games on the road.
Seattle is 4-1 SU in the team’s last 5 games against an opponent in the AFC conference.
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in the team’s last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland’s last 5 games against Seattle.
Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in the team’s last 7 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland’s last 7 games against an opponent in the NFC conference.
Cleveland is 1-8 SU in the team’s last 9 games against an opponent in the NFC West division.
Free NFL Expert Picks Cleveland Browns vs. Seattle Seahawks Predictions
In the past three head-to-head games, the Browns are 2-1 against the Seahawks. Cleveland is 1-1-1 ATS, 1-2 O/U, and averaged 99 rushing yards versus Seattle. The Browns also had a higher completion percentage of 59.13%, 219.67 passing yards, 318.67 total yards, and one turnover per game against Seattle. However, the Seahawks averaged 118.33 rushing yards per game, 327.66 total yards, and 1.33 turnovers in the previous three games versus the Browns. In the most recent meeting on Dec. 20, 2015, which is still not as helpful, Cleveland had one turnover in this game, while the Seahawks did not turn the ball over. The Seahawks accumulated 423 total yards and had a completion percentage of 70% the last time they played.
According to Pro Football Reference’s scoring defense statistics, the Seahawks rank 19th overall, allowing 23.6 points per game, while the Browns are ranked 21st, giving up 24.4 points per game. For scoring offense, the Seattle Seahawks rank 8th, averaging 26.6 points per game offensively, whereas the Browns rank 25th, averaging 18.4 points per game. Taking everything into account, Seattle has the edge offensively, which is unexpected this season considering how much talent Cleveland has for receivers and running backs. Offensive line depth is so important in this league. Pick the Seahawks to win and for the total to go over 47. The Browns are so incredibly inconsistent. Expect them to score more points in this one.