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Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2019 Win Total Free NFL Pick, Prediction, And Odds

FREE NFL Pick Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2019 Win Total

NFL Football: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2019 NFL Season

Line and Odds: Over 6.5 wins (+100) – Under 6.5 wins (-120)

As former 1stoverall pick QB Jameis Winston gets ready to lead the Tampa Bay Buccaneers into the 2019 NFL season, Bucs fans can’t help but feel a little uneasy.

Inconsistency has followed Winston during his 4-year career, and a 5-11 record in 2018 marked their 3rd time finishing at dead last in the division in that span. But the organization is confident that these inconsistencies – as well as the suspensions and benchings that defined them- are a thing of the past. First time head coach Dirk Koetter was dismissed by the team following his third straight losing season, and he was replaced with Two-time AP NFL Coach of the year Bruce Arians, who is hoping to bring a winning culture back to southwest Florida.

Cover the Spread 365 Buccaneers Betting Trends

  • The over is 1-4-1 since 2011.
  • The over is 3-2 for Arians-coached teams.
  • The over is 1-1 when Winston has started all 16 games in a season, and 0-1-1 when he doesn’t.

Over 6.5 Wins (+100)

If the over is to hit this year, it’s going to be a factor of coaching. Arians is the perfect head coach for Winston to grow with, and his motto of “no-risk it, no biscuit” perfectly fits with Jameis’ risky play style and love for deep balls. But the coach whose impact must be felt this season is new defensive coordinator Todd Bowles, who is trying to vastly improve a defense that gave up the second most points in the NFL last year. He will be doing so with a hybrid 3-4 defense and his signature move – LOTS of blitzing. OLBs Jason Pierre-Paul and Carl Nassib, as well as DT Ndamukong Suh will be looking to give QBs nightmares, and newly drafted press corners Sean Bunting and Jamel Dean are hoping to provide much needed DB relief, which will be necessary in Bowles and Arians’ high risk, high reward defensive style. If this team can win 5 games with Ryan Fitzpatrick and Jameis Winston in a revolving door and one of the worst defensive units in the league, then a 7-9 finish with a coach like Arians could be on the horizon.

Under 6.5 wins (-120)

But the coaching staff has their work cut out for them. Following back-to-back 5-win seasons, the Buccaneers “revamped” defense doesn’t actually look much different from the one they’ve been throwing out. Their first round draft ILB Devin White will be the unpolished replacement for Pro-Bowler Kwon Alexander, who signed with the 49ers, and although they added 5x Pro Bowler and 3x time first-team All-Pro DT Suh on the defensive line, he will be filling in the massive hole left by 6x Pro Bowler and 3x first-team All-Pro DT Gerald McCoy, who is a year younger than Suh and recently signed with the Carolina Panthers.

Speaking of the Panthers, let’s not forget that this Bucs defense will be playing six games a year against Drew Brees, Matt Ryan, and Cam Newton; with Jared Goff, Russell Wilson, Jimmy Garoppolo, Andrew Luck, and Deshaun Watson also making appearances. A heavy-blitzing defense is one that will rely heavily on its pressing corners, and the Bucs will be relying heavily on their rookies to become immediate game-changers. And if Jameis fails to take the next step for another year, then this team might need to wait another year before they’re ready to return to form.

FREE NFL Expert Prediction Tampa Bay Buccaneers Win Total

This pick is one that is a little bit more difficult to predict than people care to realize, as can be seen in the closeness of the lines (+100 to -120). But overall, it comes down to coaching. Besides Bruce Arians taking over the reigns, this team is not much different than the one that has gone 5-11 in each of the past two seasons. Their defense is still as bad as they have been, and I don’t see a change in scheme covering the glaring holes that they showed all throughout 2018. And with an exceedingly young new squad, I would imagine that those weaknesses would be much easier to expose, especially in the secondary. Arians is smart enough to know that he’s the coach this team wants to build around, and that building a winning team is a marathon, not a sprint. I don’t see coaching alone improving this team to 7-9.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2019 Schedule (All times EST)

Wk Date Time Opponent
1 September 8 4:25 pm San Francisco 49ers
2 September 12 8:20 pm @ Carolina Panthers
3 September 22 4:05 pm New York Giants
4 September 29 4:05 pm @ Los Angeles Rams
5 October 6 1:00 pm @ New Orleans Saints
6 October 13 9:30 am Carolina Panthers
7
8 October 27 1:00 pm @ Tennessee Titans
9 November 3 4:05 pm @ Seattle Seahawks
10 November 10 1:00 pm Arizona Cardinals
11 November 17 1:00 pm New Orleans Saints
12 November 24 1:00 pm @ Atlanta Falcons
13 December 1 1:00 pm @ Jacksonville Jaguars
14 December 8 1:00 pm Indianapolis Colts
15 December 15 1:00 pm @ Detroit Lions
16 December 21 or 22 TBD Houston Texans
17 December 29 1:00 pm Atlanta Falcons
Nick Leavenworth
Nick Leavenworth
A proud graduate of UC Santa Barbara, Nick combines his passion for sports with his passion for research to provide you with the best information in each and every article. Whether it’s through film, statistics, or everything in between, he studies relentlessly to make sure you’re in the know with every bet - from the smallest props to the biggest parlays.
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