Arizona Coyotes (23-22-4, 50 points) @ Montreal Canadiens (27-18-5, 59 Points)
January 23, 2019, 7:30 PM EST (Bell Centre)
Moneyline: Arizona Coyotes +170/Montreal Canadiens -215
Puckline: Montreal Canadiens -1.5
ESPN NHL Scores: Montreal Canadiens vs. Arizona Coyotes
The Arizona Coyotes are 6-2-2 in their last 10 and have won their last 2-games. The Coyotes sit 2-points outside of a playoff spot and are looking to jump back into the Wild Card spot, with a win tonight.
The Montreal Canadiens have also collected six wins in their last ten games, and four wins in their previous five. The Canadiens are comfortably holding a wild-card spot and are now eyeing the Toronto Maple Leafs and Boston Bruins for 2nd place in the Atlantic.
The Arizona Coyotes are one of eight teams fighting for a Wild Card spot in the West. The Wild Card spots are few, but the West is so competitive (or bad), that it’ll be pretty late into the season before that number of eight, drops to 6, 4, and then 2.
The Coyotes are a positive possession team with a 50.2 CorsiFor% and 50.3 Fenwick%. On top of these above average possession numbers, the Coyotes are a 99.2 PDO team. They are finding success, and the analytics suggest that they can keep this up. They aren’t scoring too little and aren’t scoring too much.
The 8.6% shooting percentage for the Coyotes correlates with their low goal totals for the season. There isn’t anyone on the roster, to point to, that the offense should come from. The Coyotes can at least know that the puck bounces can only get better. To be 2-points out of a playoff spot with such a poor shooting percentage is a good thing.
The Montreal Canadiens are the 5th overall possession team with a 52.8 CorsiFor%. The speed of the Canadiens has helped them take control of the shot chart and pepper their opponent from every angle. Just like the Coyotes, the Habs have struggled to put those pucks in the back of the net, with a 9.0 S%
The Canadiens are hopeful to see the oiSH% increase for Tomas Tatar and Jonathan Drouin. Both forwards sit at a below-average oiSH% of 8.0% and 9.0% (respectively). While the two forwards are number 2 and 3 in scoring (on the team), seeing them increase to the league average would help the Canadiens jump into the top half of the league in goals.
Carey Price has started to step back into a more “Carey Price”-like performance over the last month. A shut-out of the Colorado Avalanche and holding the Panthers and Blue Jackets to one-goal is only a handful of his dominant performances in 2019.
When trying to put the finger on why the Canadiens are in place to take the 2nd spot in the Atlantic Division, look to Carey Price and the possession numbers.
Cover the Spread 365 NHL Betting Trends
Arizona is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games
Arizona is 6-2 SU in its last eight games
Arizona is 7-1 ATS in its past eight games on the road
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last six games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal’s previous seven games at home
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its past five games
Montreal is 4-1 SU in its last five games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Montreal’s last 11 games
Free NHL Predictions: Arizona Coyotes @ Montreal Canadiens
Cover the Spread 365
This game is set up for the Canadiens to win and dominate. They are trending in the wrong direction, for puck possession numbers, but at the same time, they’re goaltending, and the defense has started to look better. For the Coyotes, the possession numbers are in their favor in the last five games. The Coyotes are due to lose that streak, and the Canadiens are due for their change.