Columbus Blue Jackets (13-8-2) @ Detroit Red Wings (10-10-3, 23 points) November 26, 2018, 7:30 PM EST (Little Caesars Arena)
Moneyline: Columbus Blue Jackets -140/Detroit Red Wings +120
Puckline: Columbus Blue Jackets -1.5
Free NHL Pick: Detroit Red Wings vs Columbus Blue Jackets
The Columbus Blue Jackets head to Detroit to faceoff with the Red Wings after splitting games in back-to-back nights. The Jackets are 2nd in Metropolitan Division and could take 1st with the win. The Wings have lost two in a row and are in danger of a 3rd with another division leader heading into Little Caesars Arena.
Detroit Red Wings
The Detroit Red Wings have lost two in a row after being offensively stifled by division-leading Washington Capitals and Buffalo Sabres. While the offense was a problem the last two games, it’s the defense that has kept them in games. The Wings have a GAA of 2.38 since Mike Green rejoined the lineup, 13 games ago(previously the GAA was at 4.33).
The Wings are very top heavy with a lot of the scoring coming from whoever is lucky enough to be paired with Dylan Larkin. Over the last 11 games, the Wings have seen a production increase from two forwards previously highlighted as having disturbingly low point totals.
Andreas Athanasiou, who has 15 points in 19 games, also helped the Wings in their shootout. The other culprit, Anthony Mantha, has at least started contributing more consistently, with 4G and 6P in the last 7 games. Mantha had been a statistical oddity as he had the best Corsi on the team, but the worst PDO statistics.
Out of the top 10 Corsi performers on the Red Wings, 5 are underperforming PDO forwards (including top scorers on the team Dylan Larkin and Gustav Nyquist). This confirms one of two things: their lack of talent or that their offense could do even better than their recent production increase.
Columbus Blue Jackets
The Columbus Blue Jackets have lost 2 of 3, but they are still 1 point out of first place in the Metro Division. While Sergei Bobrovsky has struggled earlier in the season, he has definitely settled down enough to earn a solid .917 SV%. He’s not performing at an MVP level, but his offense is performing well-enough ahead of him, that the Blue Jackets didn’t have to worry.
The offense has been led by Cam Atkinson and Artemi Panarin. Both forwards are giving point-per-game levels of production and their PDO’s are backing that level of production. Surprisingly enough, their average PDO’s are boosted by the on-ice Save Percentage as opposed to the shot percentage. This suggests that these two could see more success. Or at the very least, be trusted to lead the 1st line until the end of the season.
Beyond the forwards and improving goaltending is the defensive lineup, led by Seth Jones and Zach Werenski. Both are underperforming Corsi wise, but their statistics suggest they’ve provided the 7th and 8th best point shares on the team.
Cover the Spread 365 Betting Trends
Detroit Red Wings
Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Detroit is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit’s last 5 games
Detroit is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Columbus Blue Jackets
Columbus is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Columbus is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Columbus’s last 12 games
Columbus is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Free NHL Predictions: Columbus Blue Jackets @ Detroit Red Wings
Cover the Spread 365
In their last meeting, the Red Wings got on top of backup goaltender Joonas Korpisalo and had him pulled after 4 goals. I think the Blue Jackets see the importance of this win tonight and won’t overlook the, previously, horrendous Detroit defense. This game, like every other Wings game in the past 13 games, will be close. Expect the goal total to be under the 5.5 if Bobrovsky is in net. Also, expect this to go the way of the Blue Jackets.