Red Wings (23-33-9, 55 points) @ Colorado Avalanche (28-26-12, 68 points)
March 2, 2019, 9:00 PM EST (Pepsi Center)
Moneyline: Colorado Avalanche -220/ Detroit Red Wings +180
Puckline: Colorado Avalanche -1.5
ESPN NHL Scores: Colorado Avalanche vs. Detroit Red Wings
The Detroit Red Wings are 2-6-2 in their last ten games and have lost 4 straight. The end of the season can’t come fast enough, for the Wings, as the real season starts at the Draft Lottery.
Colorado is currently riding on a different boat compared to the Red Wings. The Avalanche are 6-3-1 in their last ten games and are only 3 points away from a playoff spot. Currently, on a two-game losing streak, the Avs gladly welcome the Wings to the Pepsi Center to turn things around.
Detroit Red Wings
We all know the story for the Red Wings and their “Lose for Hughes” (maybe accidental) mentality. Even their shining star in net, Jimmy Howard, can’t seem to stop a puck. Howard did stop 41 shots against the Coyotes (earning a .932 SV%), but Arizona is the 3rd worst shooting team in the league.
At this point, even an ‘okay’ game against a bad offense isn’t enough to convince viewers to believe the struggles for Howard are ending. With the analytics darling, Nick Jensen, getting shipped to Washington, expect the shot totals to continue to grow and Howard’s goals-against to grow too.
Losing was expected this season, but Filip Zadina (the 2018 1st round pick of the Red Wings) was supposed to be a shining hope. At 19, he has plenty of room for growth. But his first three games have only resulted in 5 shots that didn’t hit the back of the net.
In Colorado’s last two games we saw a team that should’ve looked more motivated to get into the playoffs. They were heavily outshot by the Sharks and also suffered deficits of 3-1 and 4-2. Then they lost to one of the worst teams in the league, the Anaheim Ducks.
The Colorado Avalanche are lucky to own Nathan MacKinnon (82 points) and see Mikko Rantanen (82 points) start to become a star. Colorado’s first line has slowed down since the beginning of the season, but the problems and struggles come from the lack of balance dropping to the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th lines.
As a sub-50% possession team, the Avalanche would have done well to add some more offense to the 2nd and 3rd lines. The addition of Derrick Brassard will not be enough to make this end of season push.
Cover the Spread 365 NHL Betting Trends
Detroit Red Wings
Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Red Wings are 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games
Avalanche are 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Colorado is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
Free NHL Predictions: Detroit Red Wings @ Colorado Avalanche
Cover the Spread 365
Going back to December 2nd, the Avalanche and Red Wings played a 2019 game that fits both of their season-long narratives. Losing 2-0, the Red Wings were unable to drum up any offense and the Avalanche got 2-goals that resulted in 2-points for each of their top-stars (Nathan MacKinnon, Mikko Rantanen, and Gabriel Landeskog).
I would say we are looking at a repeat performance from both teams. The Avs need to get back to their winning ways and hosting the Red Wings seems to be the perfect formula.