Red Wings (24-35-10, 58 points) @ Montreal Canadiens (36-26-7, 79 points)
March 10, 2019, 7:30 PM EST (Bell Centre)
Moneyline: Montreal Canadiens -238/ Detroit Red Wings +185
Puckline: Montreal Canadiens-1.5
ESPN NHL Scores: Montreal Canadiens vs. Detroit Red Wings
The Detroit Red Wings were carved up on Sunday, losing 6-1 against the Florida Panthers. A loss like this, against a non-playoff team, does not bode well for the rest of the Wing’s season.
Montreal and the Canadiens are a playoff bubble team, competing with the Columbus Blue Jackets, Philadelphia Flyers, Pittsburgh Penguins, and (kind of) the Carolina Hurricanes. ROW being the lone statistic to hold the Canadiens on the outside, will they be motivated enough to find a win?
Detroit Red Wings
Detroit has one win in their last ten games. Since the trade deadline, the Red Wings have struggled to muster any offense or slow down their opponents. The Red Wing’s only win came against their bottom feeder competition, for the number one pick, the New York Rangers.
It’s hard to pinpoint where the offense is. Thomas Vanek, cannot be relied on for offense, despite his 4 points in his last four games. In his 58 games played this year, Vanek has 33 points. Considering he starts 68.2% of his play in the offensive zone, it’s insane that his CorsiFor% is 47.1%. You can’t count on Vanek to continue to score.
The scoring struggles should continue but look to the defense to be a significant problem, again. When you trade away your best possession defenseman, you’re not doing any favors to the 25th ranked oiSV%.
The Montreal Canadiens are 5-5 in their last ten games and have lost their previous two games. Montreal sits in the middle of the league in oiSV% (90.4%), but near the bottom of the league in oiSH% (8.9%).
The Canadiens don’t have accurate shooters, so their high possession numbers appear to be their saving grace. At 53% CorsiFor, the Canadiens have been able to throw more pucks at their opponent, curbing the Canadiens’ inability to score and slowing their opponent’s production.
The result is something that keeps the Habs competitive, but they are also an average offense backed by goaltending with average numbers. Average plus average equals one win outside of a playoff spot.
Montreal is so average that you could replace most of their team statistics with the league average and no one would even notice. Interestingly enough, it’s the power play stats and Montreal’s league-worst 12.38%, that would be the outlier. Any help there and this would be a playoff team.
Cover the Spread 365 NHL Betting Trends
Detroit Red Wings
Detroit is 3-7 ATS in its last ten games
Red Wings are 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its previous six games on the road
Montreal is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
Canadiens are 4-2 ATS in its past six games at home
Montreal is 5-2 SU in its last seven games at home
Free NHL Predictions: Detroit Red Wings @ Florida Panthers
Back on February 26th, the Red Wings and Canadiens had themselves a good old fashioned blowout. The Habs ripped eight goals past the Wing’s netminders and walked away with their most dominant performance of the season.
Will the dominance continue? It’s hard to say, considering the Wings just got destroyed on Sunday. Right now, the natural progression is to take the Canadiens for the win. They may not be the flashiest team around, but they can control a hockey game. And one thing the old Red Wings cannot contend with is: having zero control.