Montreal Canadiens vs. Detroit Red Wings 01-08-2019 Free NHL Expert Picks, Parlays and Spreads
Montreal Canadiens (22-15-5, 49 points) @ Detroit Red Wings (16-21-7, 39 points)
January 8, 2019, 7:30 PM EST (Little Caesars Arena)
Moneyline: Montreal Canadiens -125/ Detroit Red Wings +100
Puckline: Montreal Canadiens -1.5
ESPN NHL Scores: Detroit Red Wings vs. Montreal Canadiens
The Montreal Canadiens are 6-4 in their last ten games (before playing the Minnesota Wild on 1/7/2019). After shutting out Elias Pettersson and the Vancouver Canucks, the Canadiens lost handily to the Nashville Predators, 4-1.
The Red Wings are 2-6-2 in their last 10 with matching home and away records of 1-3-1. Their lone victory was against the Nashville Predators when Dylan Larkin netted is his league-leading 4th OT goal.
The Montreal Canadiens are looking at the playoff picture form and thicken from the outside, at this point in the season. They sit one-point out of the playoffs, with 49 points, and three points outside of an Atlantic Division spot.
The Montreal Canadiens have struggled to reach the next level in the standings thanks to the 24th ranked Penalty Kill, and the 24th ranked team-save-percentage. They’ve performed well enough to be in the top half of the league in goals for, but they need to sort out their special teams, and Carey Price needs to turn the clock back to 2016.
While the 5-on-5 play for the Canadiens has been strong enough to earn a top-5 CorsiFor% (53.5), it’s their power play that is their biggest weakness. At 13.04%, the Canadiens are 30th in the league on the power play, leading to a 9.0 oiSH% and a PDO of 98.8.
The likes of Max Domi, Jonathan Drouin, and Tomas Tatar own respectable shooting percentages, but it is clear they aren’t shooting enough on the power play. Turning one around would inevitably push the other.
Detroit Red Wings
The Detroit Red Wings are coming off of a tough, but very believable, loss to the Washington Capitals. After taking out the Nashville Predators in Overtime, the Wings seemed to be flying high and used that momentum to get through the first two periods. The 3rd period proved to be too much.
As the Wings move forward, they continue to hope for the recovery of Mike Green and Danny Dekeyser. The Wings have struggled since the loss of Mike Green, but coupling that with DeKeyser made nothing any easier. The defense struggles with transitions and turnovers which is evident in their 28th ranked CorsiFor% (46.0).
Despite the struggles on defense, the Red Wings are sending Jimmy Howard to the All-Star Game (with a .917 SV% and a 2.78 GAA). His numbers might not reflect a game changer, but the Red Wings have a legitimate opportunity to win games when he is in net because of his aggressive and tenacious play. It’s a lot to ask of Howard, but if he continues his game-streak, the Red Wings immediately become a threat.
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Detroit Red Wings
Free NHL Predictions: Montreal Canadiens @ Detroit Red Wings
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The Red Wings and Canadiens aren’t going to be teaching any Special Teams clinics any time soon. With neither team breaking the top 20 in any special team’s statistic, this game could get ugly or stay pretty tight and low scoring.
The Red Wings have performed well against teams with high CorsiFor% scores, but low PDO’s. The result points to the level of defensive scheming and game planning that the Red Wings do (probably because of the lack of defensive talent).
I’m taking the Red Wings on the Puckline. For some reason, the Red Wings are still the underdog against underperforming teams while in Detroit. But I’ll be happy to take advantage of that.