Nashville Predators (11-3-0) at Colorado Avalanche (7-4-3)
NHL Hockey: Wednesday, November 7, 2018 (Pepsi Center)
Line and Odds: Colorado Avalanche +1.5, Over/Under 6.0
Free NHL Pick Nashville Predators vs. Colorado Avalanche
As the Nashville Predators head into Denver to play at the Pepsi Center, the Colorado Avalanche are definitely a team that is in a bit of a rut. They are probably glad to be home as they just went on a road trip where everything that could have went wrong went wrong. In their three games on the road, they had a record of 0-2-1, failing to secure a win at all at any point in the road trip. Avalanche coach Jared Bednar is definitely hoping the friendly confines of the Pepsi Center will help his team get out of their funk, however, there is one small problem…to date, the 11-3-0 Nashville Predators have not lost yet on the road. Should be an interesting (and challenging) matchup for my Avalanche to say the least.
As the Colorado Avalanche head home, they are smarting from their latest winless streak on the road, however it hasn’t been for lack of trying. When Colorado played the Wild on the first step of their road trip, they gave them a good contest, with Gabriel Landeskog and Mark Barberio each getting one goal each. However, it was all for naught because they ended up losing the game 3-2. When the Avalanche played the Flames in the next game, they did even better, but only for the first two periods. Going into the third period up by a score of 4-1, they ended up losing the game to Calgary by a score of 6-5. A few days later they lost to Vancouver in overtime in a wild 7-6 finish. Had their defense and goaltending shown up to play in that game they could have won there as well. Thus, a lot of missed opportunities for Colorado.
The Predators come into the Mile High City buoyed by the fact they have not lost a game in six road contests. They’ve got to lose sometime, right? Well, they know they are going to be difficult to beat and the stats back them up. In these six contests, they have scored 23 goals, just under 4 per game. They have won in a variety of different situations, including low-scoring such as their 3-2 contest against the Rangers, shootouts like their 5-3 matchup against Calgary and overtime thrillers such as their 4-3 besting of the New Jersey Devils. This right here is one of the main reasons why the Avalanche are underdogs even though they are at the Pepsi Center for this one.
Colorado Avalanche Trends
Colorado is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado’s last 7 games at home
Colorado is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games when playing Nashville
Nashville Predators Trends
Nashville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Nashville is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Nashville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
Nashville is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado Avalanche vs. Nashville Predators Free NHL Pick
As much as I would like to pick Colorado in this one I just can’t. The stats simply do not bear it out at all. First of all, the Avs have been on a downturn lately. Although the Avs have a solid offense, they also allow a lot of goals. The Predators have been a force to be reckoned with on the offensive side. Moreover, the psychological burden of knowing the Predators have been undefeated is not going to help the Avs either. Couple this with the fact that Preds goalie Pekka Rinne is 23-9 SU against the Avs in his career, and you have the recipe for another Avalanche loss. Is an upset possible? Sure, anything is possible in sports. Just ask the NFL’s Joe Namath. Does the Predators’ road-win streak have to end sometime? Sure it does. Will it end against the Avalanche tonight? Highly unlikely. Predators win this game straight up.
PICK: Nashville -1.5