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San Jose Sharks vs. St. Louis Blues

San Jose Sharks (2-1, best of seven) @ St. Louis Blues (1-2, best of seven)

May 17, 2019, 8:00 PM EST (Enterprise Center)

Moneyline: San Jose Sharks +120/St. Louis Blues -140

Puckline: St. Louis Blues -1.5

Over/Under: 5.5

ESPN NHL Scores: St. Louis Blues vs. San Jose Sharks

After another controversial victory for the San Jose Sharks, one might begin to ask why you would even think to bet money on this stupid…erhm…I mean…frustrating sport.

Playing the numbers, it seems almost impossible that the Sharks would be handed ANOTHER victory by the refs…right? Regardless, the St. Louis Blues are still a very good team and their defense and goaltending is enough to take down the Sharks. Can they prove it?

San Jose Sharks

Martin Jones now owns a .903 SV%, (much better than his .896 SV% in the regular season), but the ebbs and flows in each series would suggest the flood gates may be opened soon.

Jones’ first round was much worse than his second, but that’s not to say that things have been completely fixed in San Jose’s defensive department. Even in analyzing the key statistics from the possession game, a slip back into the .800’s for Jones’ SV% could mean disaster for the Sharks.

Luckily, the Sharks have that powerful offense I previously mentioned. Logan Couture now leads all playoff skaters in points, with 20. Not far behind him is the leader in assists, during the playoffs, Erik Karlsson. As long as this offense performs at this peak level, they shouldn’t struggle to compete.

St. Louis Blues

Jordan Binnington was the reason the Blues made it to the playoffs this season, but his .904 SV% in the playoffs is leaning closer to the label of mediocre opposed to “savior”.

It would be irresponsible to suggest that Binnington was the reason for losing game three, but I’m sure no St. Louis Blues fan would say ‘no’ to the .927 SV% from the regular season.

The puck possession game has been important for the Blues, but don’t ignore the fact that the Blues are now the only team in the playoffs, right now, with a negative goal differential. I’d point to this fact as being of a nod to their “win-some/lose-some” approach to the playoffs thus far.

And as long as Jaden Schwartz (9 G, 13 P) and Ryan O’Reilly (8 A, 11P) are available for the Blues, the offense should continue to “hum” and counteract the “not-so-great” defensive performances.

Cover the Spread 365 NHL Betting Trends

San Jose Sharks

The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose’s last 5 games.

San Jose are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games.

San Jose are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against St. Louis.

St. Louis Blues

The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis’ last 9 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis’ last 9 games against San Jose.

St. Louis are 10-5 SU in their last 15 games at home.

Free NHL Predictions: San Jose Sharks @ St. Louis Blues

The St. Louis Blues are a good hockey team and proved as much in game two. They were even a minute away from taking game two. This series will move into the “donzo” side of the spectrum if the Blues can’t take game four. That’s not enough to argue a victory, but the Blues’ 10-5 record as the favorite in their last fifteen games, should make it look more reasonable.

The Sharks also have to contend with the Martin Jones factor. Jones looks to be headed down a negative path after allowing three goals in game one and four goals in games two and three.

Pick: St. Louis Blues -140

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Athletic subscribers: In @coreypronman's annual rankings of the NHL's farm systems, the Blues check in today at No. 19. Read what Corey has to say about the club's prospects … #stlblues

Ivan Barbashev has a lot more to lose in contract negotiations than the Blues do. #stlblues

Ivan Barbashev has a lot more to lose than Blues in contract negotiations. #stlblues

Athletic subscribers: With agent Dan Milstein saying today that client Ivan Barbashev has options "across the ocean," here's a timely piece from @CraigCustance on all the RFA standoffs this summer and why they impact nearly every NHL team. #stlblues

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