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Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Detroit Red Wings

Red Wings Vs Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning (20-7-1, 41 points) @ Detroit Red Wings (12-12-3, 27 points)

December 4, 2018, 7:30 PM EST (Little Caesars Arena)

Moneyline: Tampa Bay Lightning -170/Detroit Red Wings +145

Puckline: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5

Over/Under: 6

Free NHL Pick: Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 8-2 in their last 10, including 4-1 on the road. With 3 W’s-in-a-row, the Bolts are looking for 4 as they wrap up their road trip in Detroit. The Red Wings are welcoming in another division leader and top-10 team in Little Caesars Arena. Will they find success against a Lightning team that has beaten them in 10 straight games?

Tampa Bay Lightning

The Lightning is the league’s best team and you wouldn’t be laughed out of a room if you said that 2 months ago. Even with a few injuries (like the one to Andrei Vasilevskiy) the Bolts have been able to hold onto their league standing, striking fear into all who stand in their way.

Though the Lightning continues to win, Louis Domingue can be considered their biggest handicap, while taking over the starting goaltender role. His .900 SV% and 3.14 GAA is the worst in the league, but his performances have required the Lightning forwards to put forth their best efforts, night after night. With 18 skaters (having played at least 12 games) having a Corsi score above 50.0, the Lightning doesn’t have much to improve upon. Beyond that powerful statistic, is the 4th best Team on-ice shot percentage.

While Nikita Kucherov is an easy pick, at the start of every year, for MVP candidacy, Brayden Point and his 26.7% shooting percentage are putting the whole league on notice. His 37 points in 28 games are putting him on pace for a career year and 108 points. Even if the stock dipped to a league average of 10-12% shooting percentage, he’ll be able to flirt with 40 goals. That being said, there is nothing in the data suggesting he’s due for a drop (besides the LAW OF AVERAGES).

Detroit Red Wings

The Red Wings are coming into tonight’s game against the Tampa Bay Lightning have just faced 4 other teams in the top-10 and will face their 6th on Thursday (the Toronto Maple Leafs). During this period, the Red Wings have held a reasonable pace of .500. Their lack of talent, high-Corsi, and high PDO reflect a team who should be doing much worse.

The wins and competitiveness are coming from the goaltending. If the numbers since November weren’t enough, the Red Wings were able to hold the Colorado Avalanche (the hottest offense in the league) to 1 non-empty-net-goal (losing 2-0).

The Red Wings have displayed a new level of grit during the last couple of weeks, led by the Nephew of Todd Bertuzzi, Tyler. Tyler Bertuzzi has not only gotten himself into scuffs and tussles, but he’s also been able to be productive on the scoreboard. His 4 points in the last 5 games have helped Tyler become the 4th best scoring forward on the team. That being said, Bertuzzi is out for two games and the Wings will lose Mantha for 4-6 weeks.

Jimmy Howard, who is just outside of the top-10 in Save Percentage, will be between the pipes tonight.

Cover the Spread 365 NHL Betting Trends

Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road

Tampa Bay is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Detroit

Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit

Detroit Red Wings

Detroit is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games

Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit’s last 9 games

Free NHL Predictions: Tampa Bay Lightning @ Detroit Red Wings

Cover the Spread 365

With another league leader coming into town, it doesn’t really matter how much better the Wings are playing (compared to October). The Lightning will be susceptible to goals, because of their shaky goaltender situation, but their team is loaded with talent from top to bottom. With their 2nd offensive line outpacing the Red Wing’s first scoring line, it’ll be tough to keep up and match up the lines perfectly. The injury to Mantha and loss of Bertuzzi won’t help. The last three games these two have played have ended with an average score of 4-1.33, in favor of the Lightning.

Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -170 and take the Over (6)

#RedWings Blashill said Green and Ericsson both banged up and questionable for tomorrow's game vs. #Senators. Wings have Brian Lashoff, Luke Witkowski as potential replacements.

#RedWings power play units:
1. Nielsen, Nyquist (half walls), Larkin (bumper), Vanek (net front), Cholowski (point).
2. Frk, Athanasiou (half walls), Bertuzzi (bumper), Rasmussen (net front), Kronwall (point, subbing for Green).
PP is 2 for 31 (6.5 percent) last 14 games.

#RedWings practicing prior to Friday’s game vs. #Senators at ⁦@LCArena_Detroit⁩ Green and Ericsson not skating today. Green banged up a bit, limited to 15 minutes last game. Same with Ericsson.

Ovechkin completes hat trick...now has NHL-leading 25 goals..6-1 Capitals at 9:33 3rd period #RedWings...so good, and for so long. Isn't slowing down, either.

Goal counts, Larkin's 13th, and it's 5-1 1:03 3rd period #RedWings

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“I don’t know what tonight will be. It’s one of those probably expect the unexpected.”

#Bolts get big lift with return of Andrei Vasilevskiy in time for tonight’s heavyweight showdown vs. Leafs. #TORvsTBL
https://t.co/D8qqMiM2iv

Stamkos on getting Vasilevskiy back tonight #TORvsTBL: "He’s an elite goaltender, but we want to maintain the play that we’ve had. We can’t just think that he’s back and he’s got it covered. He does most of the time, but we’ll look to continue playing the right way.” #Bolts

Cooper on starting Vasilevskiy tonight #TORvsTBL: "He’s got to get that first one in at some point. There was a thought we might play him the prior game, but get him a really good practice yesterday, he did really well so tonight’s the night.” #Bolts

Jon Cooper confirms Andrei Vasilevskiy will start tonight vs Toronto. #Bolts #TORvsTBL

16 players on the ice for today’s optional Lightning morning skate, including both goalies. Vasilevskiy in the net usually reserved for the night’s starter. #Bolts #TORvsTBL

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Matthew Klink
Matthew Klink
Matthew is the boy who never grew up. He made his attempts at growing up: graduating with major business degrees and an MBA. But he still managed to hold onto his die-hard fandom with sports, pro wrestling, cartoons, comics, and toys. Being a Michigan native, he's, unfortunately, a fan of the Detroit Lions, Tigers, and Pistons. He absolutely loves hockey, so he's still proud to be a Red Wings fan. Graduating from MSU, he also holds that school with some level of gratitude and affection. Read and listen to his pro-wrestling analysis on Brothers of Discussion.
https://www.bodpodcast.com
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