Toronto Maple Leafs (39-21-7) at Buffalo Sabres (20-34-11)

NHL Hockey: Monday, March 5, 2018 at 7:30 pm (KeyBank Center)

The Line: Buffalo Sabres +156 / Toronto Maple Leafs -173 — Over/Under: 5.5


The Toronto Maple Leafs and the Buffalo Sabres are meeting up for a Monday night showdown at KeyBank Center.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are sitting in third place in the Atlantic division with 85 points. The Leafs lost 5-2 in their last game against the Washington Capitals on Mar 3. The Leafs have won six of their last 10 games and have received points in eight of the last 10. The Leafs have played well on the road this season. In 35 games played on the road the Leafs are 17-13-5.

Mitchell Marner leads the Leafs in points this season since Auston Matthews is currently on IR. Marner has 53 points (17 G 36 A) in 67 games played this season. Frederik Andersen should get the nod  to start in Monday’s game. Andersen has started in 55 games while posting 32 wins, a 2.74 GAA, and a .920 save % behind the net this season. The Leafs have cooled down on the power play as they are 18th in the league converting on 20.1% with the man advantage. The penalty kill has been solid all season long as they are eighth in the league killing off 82.7% of their penalties this season.

The Buffalo Sabres are currently the last team in the Eastern conference with just 51 points. The Sabres are coming off a 4-1 loss against the Florida Panthers on Mar 2. The Sabres have been struggling and they have just won four of their last 10 games. Road games have not been a good sign for the Sabres this season. In 34 road games this season the Sabres are 11-16-7.

Jack Eichel who is currently on IR leads the Sabres in points this season with 53 points (22 G, 31 A) in just 55 games played. Robin Lehner will be in net for Monday’s matchup. Lehner has started in 45 games while posting 13 wins, a 2.97 GAA, and a .909 save % behind the crease this season. The Sabres have not produced numbers on the power play this season. The Sabres are 25th in the league converting on 17.2% with the man advantage. The penalty kill is currently 20th in the league killing off 79.7% of their penalties this season.

Trends by Cover The Spread 365

Toronto Maple Leafs

Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto’s last 9 games on the road

Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo

Toronto is 4-18 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Buffalo

Buffalo Sabres

Buffalo is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo’s last 7 games at home

Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto

Buffalo is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Toronto


The Buffalo Sabres are going to muscle out a win in this matchup. I am going against the odds in this one because the Sabres are playing spoilers at the moment. This game should be a low scoring game and should expect it to be physical. The keys to the game will be the special teams and who can capitalize on their chances.

  Pick:Buffalo Sabres under 5.5

No guarantee Matthews plays, however ... There are 13 forwards #TMLtalk

Marleau ties it 5-5 with 15.3 left on clock. #Leafs #TMLTalk

Greg Pateryn (see Grabovski trade w/Montreal circa 2008) ties it. 2-2 #Leafs #Stars #TMLTalk

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Reinstone Cowboy #Sabres

Nick Baptiste is earning regular action & figuring out what can make him successful w/the #Sabres. More on his two goal-game & Jack Eichel's return in Sat's win over the #Blackhawks: "Get to the net."

#Sabres notes: While Nathan Beaulieu doesn't fight a lot, it's "just part of my DNA." How the D utilizes fighting: "I’m a big believer in fighting in hockey." #Sabres #Blackhawks

Call an Uber. Take a cab. Wear a helmet not if but when you are busting through banquet tables at the St. Paddy's party #PublicServiceAnnouncement #Sabres #BillsMafia #BullsMafia #BeautsMafia #BanditsMafia

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