Vancouver Canucks (9-6-0, 18 points) @ Detroit Red Wings (4-8-2, 10 points)
November 6, 2018, 7:30 PM ET (Little Caesars Arena)
Line: Vancouver Canucks +1.5 vs Detroit Red Wings -1.5
Moneyline: Vancouver Canucks +115/ Detroit Red Wings -135
Free NHL Pick: Detroit Red Wings vs Vancouver Canucks
The Pacific Division’s second place team, the Vancouver Canucks, come into Detroit having just taken down the Colorado Avalanche 7-6 in Overtime. The Canuck’s hope to push their winning streak to 4 games, against the 29th ranked Detroit Red Wings who have just ended a 3-game-winning-streak against the Edmonton Oilers.
The 9-6-0 Vancouver Canucks are lucky to have Elias Petterson step right up and produce one season removed from the departure of the Sedin Twins. Pettersson has 15 points and 9 goals, so far this season, thanks to a 39.1 shot percentage. While Pettersson will not be able to hold onto the nearly 40% shot percentage, there is nothing that his game and talent suggest that eventual decline will be too severe. Only having played 9 games so far, this season, due to an injury, Pettersson has proved that he would still be able to continue his production and continue to play hard after taking a hard hit. Against the Avalanche, Pettersson put up 5 points with 2 goals on 4 shots. The other bright spots for the Canucks are found on the top two lines, as a majority of the team and its lines have a below-50% Corsi score. Being out-shot is a habit for the Canucks and really highlights how important it is for Pettersson to have such a great shot percentage. As a team, the Canucks have the 5th best shot percentage, at 11.4%, and should be worried for when they run into good goaltending and shot eliminating defenses.
Detroit Red Wings
The Detroit Red Wings lost their winning streak, which hit a season high of 3 games, after losing to the Edmonton Oilers. Dylan Larkin continued his point-per-game production against the Oilers with an assist, but its Gustav Nyquist, who is now on pace for a career season who is beginning to turn heads. While he’s never been asked or expected to become a point-per-game player, Nyquist has benefitted from the production of his linemates despite his On-Ice-Shot Percentage (shot percentage for Nyquist’s time on ice) being in line with the bottom fourth of the league. The Wings, as a whole, struggle with this statistic (being in the bottom half of the league), meaning Nyquist’s 11 A shouldn’t be ignored due to the “law of averages” suggesting these numbers are already “low”. With most of the season being wrapped around negativity, with the struggles of Anthony Mantha, Thomas Vanek, and Frans Nielsen, the Red Wings should at least be happy that 40 point-per-season players, like Nyquist, is performing this well. Jimmy Howard, who should be back in the net against the Canucks, is still on a 2-game-winning-streak of his own. His .912 save percentage is a huge improvement over his .870 save percentage he had 3 weeks ago.
Cover the Spread 365 NHL Betting Trends
Vancouver is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 games
Vancouver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Vancouver’s last 12 games
Vancouver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Detroit Red Wings
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Detroit’s last 22 games
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Free NHL Predictions: Detroit Red Wings vs Edmonton Oilers
With the Canucks continuing their hot pace, there isn’t a lot (besides the law of averages) to suggest their shooting percentage should come down against the Wings. Both teams love giving up goals, but the Canucks are just a little bit better than the Wings in scoring goals and the Wings are just a little bit worse at stopping them from going in. While the Wings have had recent success, their season-long numbers have provided their opponents with an opportunity to build confidences and get scoring from all 4 lines. I anticipate the Canucks (finally) getting some secondary scoring on top of their first line performing well. Take the “underdog” on this one.