FC Nürnberg (3-9-18) vs. Bayern Munich (22-4-4)
Bundesliga: Sunday 28-04-2019 at 17:00 UST (Max-Morlock Stadion)
Odds: FC Nürnberg: 17.00, Draw: 9.00, Bayern Munich: 1.14
Free Bundesliga picks FC Nürnberg vs. Bayern Munich
FC Nürnberg welcomes top of the league Bayern on Sunday afternoon for a clash of the extremes. Indeed, this match opposes the team with the most Bundesliga wins to the one with the least. ‘Der Club‘ ranks at 17th, with only 3 wins in 30 games and is currently liable for relegation. As a matter of fact, according to FiveThirtyEight, the club’s probability of dropping to 2.Bundesliga is at 90%. Nürnberg snapped a 20-game streak without a league win on the 30th of March against Augsburg. Since, they have drawn to Schalke and Stuttgart, two team also struggling this season. Nürnberg’s struggles are most evident on offence. Despite playing in a fast-paced open league, ‘Der Legende‘ has only scored 24 goals. They are one of only three teams to have scored less than one goal per game in Bundesliga. They are also a weak defensive side with 56 goals conceded. However, Der Club’s permeability seems relatively more under control lately. Indeed, Nürnberg has conceded 8 goals in the last 7 games, compared to 2.1 on average in the previous 23.
Bayern Munich are on a very different dynamic to Nürnberg. Indeed, the reigning Bundesliga champion have won their last five games in all competitions. Their fine form includes a 5-0 thrashing of current runner-ups Borussia Dortmund. This win allowed them to leapfrog the BVB. Additionally, Dortmund have lost the Revierderby at home 4-2 in another debacle. This gives an opportunity for Bayern to take a four point lead if they win Sunday. This should be the case as the Bavarians seem to be unstoppable in the Bundesliga since January. They have scored 43 goals in 2019 and conceded only 11. Bayern‘s national dominance also extends to the DFB Pokal in which they are yet again in the final. They won their semifinal against Werder Bremen in an engaged and open game which finished 2-3. Before facing RB Leipzig in a month, Bayern will hope to consolidate their league spot on Sunday.
Boris Schommers should compose his Nürnberg side in a 4-1-4-1 with Mathenia in goals. The german tactician will not be able to count on Valentini or Zrelak who are both injured. Bauer, Mühl, Ewerton and Leibold should have a challenging game in defence. Erras should assume the demanding CDM role, with Löwen and Behrens in front of him. On the wings, Kerk and Pereira should start. The young Tillman could benefit from a 20-minute cameo against his parent club if the result is decided early. Finally, Nürnberg’s top-score Ishak will hope to add to his 4-goal tally against the greatest German club.
Bayern Munich should be composed in its usual 4-2-3-1 formation. Boateng and Neuer are out injured while Ribery and Robben could also be unavailable. Nevertheless, Kovaç‘s team should still have enough talent to blow by Nürnberg. Indeed, Kimmich and Alaba should start as full-backs with Süle and Hummels as centre-backs. The Croatian will rely on the Thiago-Martinez partnership as defensive midfielders, with James Rodriguez probably taking the CAM position. Finally, Lewandowski, Gnabry and Thomas Müller should complete the line-up. The three men have combined for more goals that their opponents this season, with 36 goals.
Free Bundesliga schedule Bayern Munich vs. FC Nürnberg
Bayern Munich are the clear favourites to win the Bundesliga, let alone this game. Kovaç’s team hasn’t always been the expected bulldozer this season but have been virtually unbeatable in 2019. Nürnberg shouldn’t have the talent to rival the Bavarians and could suffer a fatal blow in the relegation battle.
PICK: FC Nürnberg 0-4 Bayern Munich