Juventus (26-3-1) vs. AC Milan (14-10-6)
Serie A: Saturday 06-04-2019 at 17:00 UST (Allianz Stadium)
Odds: Juventus: 1.75, Draw: 3.50, AC Milan: 5.25
Serie A Picks Juventus vs. AC Milan
Juventus welcome AC Milan at the Allianz Stadium on Saturday in the main Serie A clash of the weekend. The Bianconeri are the undisputed leaders of the league with a comfortable 18-point advantage over Napoli. Their dominance in Italy can be summarised in one simple fact: they could win the Scudetto as soon as this weekend. Juventus lost only one match in the whole season, three weeks ago, 2-0 away to Genoa. Furthermore, the Old Lady has won twenty-six of its thirty matches is Serie A and is still in the Champions League. They also have scored the most goals in Serie A this season and conceded the least (62 and 19 respectively). Additionally, Juventus haven’t lost at home in all competitions since the 7th of November against Manchester United. Even more impressive, their last domestic home defeat was almost a year ago to Napoli, on the 22nd of April. La Juve seems to be unbeatable this season and should make the task very difficult for AC Milan.
AC Milan are in a surprising fourth place, as the team has slightly over-performed this season. Indeed, according to Understat, the Rossoneri should rank at the sixth place. Nevertheless, the massive investments over the past two years have allowed Milan to still be competing for the Champions League places. Indeed, they stand four points behind the top 3 but only one point in front of Atalanta. However, the Diavolo have been on a negative dynamic as of late. Indeed, they have lost two of their last three games, including the derby della Madonnina: 3-2 to Inter. The Rossoneri’s defensive solidity is probably the main reason why they have performed so well. They are one of only five teams to have conceded less than one goal per game on average. However, on offence, they have struggled compared to their rank. They have the eighth attack in terms of goals scored, despite counting Piatek in their line-up. Their lack of options could well be even more apparent in this weekend’s game.
Massimiliano Allegri‘s teams have been composed in a 3-4-2-1 in the absences of Ronaldo and Mandzukic. This trend should continue Saturday, starting with Szczesny in goal. Bonucci should have Chiellini and Caceres around him in an experienced defensive line. Just like against Cagliari, Pjanic should be paired up to Can to guide the tempo of the game. Depending on whether the Bianconeri will focus on possession, Betancur could play as one of the CAMs. Otherwise, Matuidi would be the one to play alongside Bernardeschi. Indeed, the Italian international seems to have solidified his place in the line-up lately. On the wings, either Alex Sandro or De Sciglio should expect to start on the left while Cancelo will take the right flank. Allegri might choose to rest De Sciglio in preparation for the Champions League match against Ajax as he offers more defensive guarantees. Finally, Moise Kean will probably pose a threat to Milan’s defence as la Juve’s target man. The 19-year old prodigy has scored four goals this season in only six games. Furthermore, he might profit from the uncertainty around Mandzukic’s illness to add to his tally on Saturday.
Gattuso‘s spell in AC Milan has provoked mixed feelings so far and Saturday’s match probably won’t help his case. The Milan legend will not be able to count on Donnarumma or Paqueta who were both injured Tuesday against Udinese. Pepe Reina should take the young goalkeeper’s spot in Gattuso’s 4-3-3. From left to right, Rodriguez, Romagnoli, Musacchio and Calabria should form the defensive line. Bakayoko, whose performances have improved since January will probably start as the lower summit of the midfield three. Kessié is coming back from an injury and timing might prove too tight for him to start. If so, Calhanoglu and Biglia should complete the midfield triangle. On the offensive line, the second-best goalscorer of the season, with 20 goals in 29 games, Piatek will start. To his sides, Castillejo and Suso seem logical choices, as they both bring pace and vista on the wings. Seeing as Milan will probably have to defend for most of the games, their performances might prove crucial to the Rossoneri.
Serie A Schedule AC Milan vs. Juventus
Juventus are untouchable this season and will hope to prepare their Ajax UCL clash with a win. Milan is in a negative dynamic and have injuries in key areas of play. The Bianconeri, at home, will probably comfortably this game. Additionally, I do not see them conceding and the scoreline could be 2-0 or even 3-0.
PICK: Juventus 2-0 AC Milan