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NASCAR O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 Picks, Odds, Preview and Parlays

NASCAR O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 Preview

This weekend NASCAR heads to the Lone Star state and is back on the intermediate tracks for the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500. Brad Keselowski picked up the win last week at Martinsville, in may I say, dominating fashion.

Kyle Busch, my pick to win finished third last week. But Busch will be another favorite this week on the mile and a half track.

Kyle Busch +250 #18

He has three wins in 26 starts at the Texas Motor Speedway and 12 top fives and has never DNF’ed. And it’s hard to bet against Bush, he’s the newest winningest driver in all of NASCAR with 202 to date, with his last win being in truck series on Friday. Two wins this season and the current points leader, and he’s a pro when it comes to intermediate racing, look for  “Rowdy” Busch at the end.

Brad Keselowski +350 #2

Last week’s dominating winner is another favorite to win this weekend. He hasn’t won yet in 21 races at Texas but has five top fives and eight top 10’s. He has two wins already this year, compared to only three last year. He has momentum on his side and is second-best this year, behind Bush. He’ll be eyeing that first win of his career at the Texas Motor Speedway.

Joey Logano +600 #22

Logano comes into this weekend with one career win back in 2014. He’s led over 400 laps and has nine top fives and 11 top 10’s. The defending series champion has three top fives and one win at Las Vegas Motor Speedway and is looking to make this weekend win number two on the season. He has six career wins on intermediate tracks and has led over a 1,000 laps, so look for Logano to be a threat.

Kevin Harvick +600 #4

Harvick has finished in the top 10 in each race so far this season but the Daytona 500, with his best finish being fourth. Harvick will look to celebrate in victory lane this weekend. He’s a previous two-time winner at the Texas Motor Speedway and has led over 5,000 laps at intermediate tracks quite like this one, so Harvick knows how to get around this joint. Look for the “Closer” to be the one challenging for the victory on Sunday.

Cover the Spread Stats

  • Chevrolet has won four of the last nine races at Texas Motor Speedway, but only one of the last six. Toyota has won three of the last six and Ford has carried the checkered flag in two of the last three.
  • Kyle Busch has won three of the last 11 races in Fort Worth but has finished outside the top 10 in three of the last four runnings there.
  • Joey Logano won the spring race in 2014 but has failed to return to victory lane at this track since then, though he has landed on the podium in four of the last six races at Texas.
  • Kevin Harvick has seen plenty of success at the 1.5-mile quad-oval track recently. The California native has won two of the last three races in Fort Worth and has found himself on the podium in six of the last nine runnings at Texas Motor Speedway. Since switching to Ford in 2017, he has led 38 or more laps in each of the four races.
  • Although Brad Keselowski has won two races this season, he hasn’t had much success at Texas Motor Speedway, having finished outside of the top 10 in four of the last six races there. He hasn’t been on the podium there since 2015.

This race should be fun with Keselowski, Harvick, Busch, and Logano all having a chance to win this weekend. But my pick this weekend will be Busch again. It’s hard to go against him. And “Rowdy” is on a role.

My pick: Kyle Busch +250


Robert Marshall
I'm an avid sports fan who loves to write and bring the best information to the sports fans out there