The Wyndham Championship
Sedgefield Country Club - Greensboro, North Carolina
August 1st - 4th, 2019
There is a lot on the line for some players this week as we head into the final tournament of the PGA Tour’s regular season. We only have one top-ten player (Paul Casey) competing at Sedgefield Country Club this week, which isn’t too unusual to see as many of the worlds best take this week to rest. This leaves plenty of room for those close to the FedEx Cup cutline to play well at this par-70 course, and even more room for those looking to catch the resting FedEx Cup leaders. With a weekend full of scattered thunderstorms and motivations, expect to see a lot of aggressive play that will make or break some contenders years.
Collin Morikawa (+1400)
Morikawa has been on fire the last month. He won his first PGA Tour event last week at the Barracuda Championship and T4/T2 in the two events prior. He only has six PGA Tour starts overall but has not placed worse than 36th in a single one. Morikawa doesn’t have enough rounds recorded to place in any of the statistical categories, but currently he would lead the field in both GIR and Adjusted Scoring if he did. In his six starts he is gaining almost 1.3 strokes in his Approach to Green and nearly 1.8 strokes from Tee to Green. Those two areas will be crucial to perform well in this weekend, and I think Colin Morikawa has a great chance to continue his streak of top 5 finishes in Greensboro.
Brandt Snedeker (+2200)
Sneds has two Wyndham wins in his career, the second of which came just last year at this very course. He tore Sedgefield up in the first round shooting an eleven under 59 and finished the tournament at twenty-one under. That incredible weekend also marks his last win as he has now made it an entire year without finding the top of the leaderboard. So far this season he only has four top tens, one of which was a T2 finish all the way back at the Safeway Open in October 2018. That does not mean he hasn’t been playing consistent though, as he has made 20 of 23 cuts and has nine top-25 finishes in 2019. He has had some struggles off the tee this year but has made up for it with stellar work around the green, where he ranks third in SG. He’s also ranked 11th in SG Putting with more than half a stroke gained over the field this year. Unfortunately for Sned, he has never defended a win the following year. But if he can keep his ball in the fairway this week I see no reason why he doesn't make a strong run for some more FedEx Cup points before the playoffs next week.
Patrick Reed (+2200)
Patrick Reed has had a somewhat disappointing year for his standards. With no wins and only three top-ten finishes in 2019 he will be looking to secure some additional points and try to make a late season run at the Tour Championship Title. He has seemed to have turned his year around after his last missed cut at the PGA Championship as well, going T32, T30, T5, T23, 10, T12 in his last six starts. Patrick currently sits 38th when it comes to overall SG, and his strengths this season have been Around the Green and Tee to Green. Both of which will be crucial this week on the shorter Par-70 course designed by Donald Ross. Reed is also a player who will be highly motivated to perform well this week as he is looking to prove to Tiger that he deserves a spot on the Presidents Cup team. I think in a field without some of this years superstars missing, Reed has an excellent chance of putting together an impressive weekend and bringing home the Wyndham Championship trophy.
Paul Casey (+2200)
As the eight ranked FedEx Cup points player of the year, I am stunned that Paul Casey has 22-to-1 odds to win this tournament. Paul has put together a solid year to attain that eight spot in the FedEx Cup rankings as well, amassing one win, a second place finish after a playoff loss, and four other top ten placings. He’s also had an amazing year statistic wise and is currently ranked 14th overall in SG. He sits among the top 20 in three of the five areas (Off the Tee, Approach to Green, Tee to Green), and also ranks 50th Around the Green. His weakness has hands down been his putting though, and more specifically his ability to one putt. He ranks 158th and loses 0.2 strokes to the field on average in the putting arena which is truly what kills him. However, if he can find his putter this weekend I think he will have no problem landing among the top 5 and shooting even further up the FedEx rankings board.
Viktor Hovland (+2500)
Hovland is an Oklahoma State Alum and looking to bring some light to his name this weekend. He has been slightly overshadowed by both Colin Morikawa and Matthew Wolff this year but has also put together a solid season since the US Open. With a T16 or better in four of his last five starts he will be looking to add his name to the winners list this season alongside his fellow rookies. Sedgefield is the type of course that falls right into Hovland’s wheel house as well so he has all the potential to go low this weekend. At 25-to-1 he's not that far off some of the bigger names of the tournament, which proves that he has potential to grab his first Career Victory in NC this weekend.
Billy Horschel (+2800)
Billy is coming off one of his best years on tour with the hopes of getting his first win in the last regular season tournament of the year. He has matched his career-high this season with 12 top 25’s and will be looking to maneuver his way higher up the FedEx rankings in North Carolina this weekend. Billy ranks 33rd in Overall SG and is fairly consistent throughout all areas, which should play to his advantage this weekend. Expect his strong play to continue on a course he succeeds at as well, with a T5 and T11 in two of his last three appearances in the Wyndham Championship. I expect Horschel to come out firing and anticipate him sneaking his way up to the top of the leaderboard this weekend at Sedgefield.
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