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The Players Championship – Picks, Odds and Predictions

The Players Championship  Picks and Parlays

As the Arnold Palmer Invitational comes to an end, we can begin to look forward to next week’s Players Championship. On March 14th, some of the best in the world will tee off to see who’s the top dog, with the tournament ending on Sunday the 17th.

Recently, Tiger Woods announced his candidacy for the 12-million-dollar purse, adding to the already great field of competitors. However, Tiger hasn’t seen success at TPC Sawgrass since his win in 2013 and he hasn’t really returned to his pre-injury form either – outside of his win at the Tour Championship.

And for those thinking about the implications of winning one the majors you might be a little confused or rather misled. While the media tends to describe the Players as the fifth major, it’s not.

But we are not here to argue semantics, we are here to look at the numbers and see which top talent has the best chance of winning the famous tournament at TPC Sawgrass this week.

Three Favorites

Dustin Johnson +1200

There’s an obvious reason Dustin makes the list, he’s the number one golfer in the world and he’s coming off what will be a three-week break from his win at the WGC Mexico Championship where he obliterated his competition.

Also, the Mexico win was not his first of the season, Dustin finished first at the Saudi International in early February. At +1200, Johnson was tied with Rory McIlroy for the highest odds to win the weekend.


Justin Rose +1400

Rose, ranked second in the world, is right on Johnson’s tail at +1400, but Rose’s recent play has left a lot to be desired. At the Arnold Palmer Invitational, Rose finished tied for 63rd and he missed the cut at the Saudi International. Justin’s one bright spot in 2019 so far was his first-place finish at the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, California. On a positive note, Justin did end 2018 strong by finishing in the top 20 in each of his last eight matchups.


Brooks Koepka +1800

Brooks rounds out the top three golfers in the world after Johnson and Rose and had an impressive showing at the 2018 Players. Koepka finishing 11th, ahead of both Johnson and Rose for his impressive payout.Koepka did miss the cut last week at the Arnold Palmer but he had a spectacular showing the week prior at the Honda Classic. +1800 is a steal for a player of his caliber.


Webb Simpson +3300

Webb Simpson is the reigning champion at the players where he set a PGA record on the course. Simpson went into Sunday last year with the largest ever lead and he tried and tried to blow it. In fact, Webb double-bogeyed the final hole and ended with a 73 and still won.

Its important to note the Players Championship was moved from May to March this year, making the grounds and green a little bit harder than what they would be two months from now.

There are even reports of frost on the course just a week before the tournament starts.

Francisco Molinari +3300

Francisco is coming off a stunning win this past weekend at the Arnold Palm Invitational, where he put up a final round of eight under par. If he has anything left in his tank and he keeps his confidence up, Molinari has a serious chance to pull off back to back victories. Francisco will have to perform a lot better than he did last year where he missed the cut.


Phil Mickelson +4000

It was a struggle to put Phil anywhere on this list since he hasn’t completely decided if he was going to play or not; however, a win at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am shot Phil back into the limelight.

The Pebble Beach win also took Phil from 29th in the world to 17th.

Just like Francisco, Phil missed the cut last year. For these reasons, Phil made the cut but was dropped into the sleeper category.


Ian Poulter +5000

Ian Poulter and Justin Rose are the only two players from outside the U.S. to make the list and Ian mainly made this list based off his finish last year, tying Brooks.

Additionally, below are Ian Poulter’s last five finishes:

Arnold Palmer T23

WGC Mexico T3

Saudi International T6

Omega Dubai Desert Classic T3

Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship T6

Listed at +5000 Ian’s odds are favorable when all the data points are considered.

Matthew Helmkamp
Matthew Helmkamp
Matt is a lifelong NBA and PGA fan who decided to turn his love into a career. Matt leverages his vast experience working with data and the knowledge he obtained while earning his MBA to ensure all of his picks are profitable.