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UFC Fight Night: Till vs Masvidal Odds Picks and Predictions 03-16-19

UFC Fight Night: Till vs Masvidal Odds Picks and Predictions


Live from London, England, UFC Fight Night on ESPN+ 5 features two top welterweights competitors who aren’t shy to rumble with their fists: Liverpool’s own Darren Till and the former street brawler from Miami, Jorge Masvidal.

The school of hard knocks holds two notable alumni that brought them to the UFC, the late Kimbo Slice and now Jorge Masvidal, who has the most distinguished fighting record of the two. Here’s a highlight clip of Jorge “Gamebred” Masvidal showing his TKO prowess in the Octagon, far from the concrete floors from where he started now cemented in an illustrious MMA career.  You can tell from his fights that he has supreme confidence in his style and possesses in his repertoire the “Best Sucka Punch in the Business”. And rightfully so, he can torture his opponents with his vicious stand-up game or can take his time looking for a mistake and dominate them on the ground.

Masvidal is celebrating almost 6 years of fighting in the world’s premier mixed martial arts promotion, competing against mostly top ten fighters at the time of their respective primes. The underdog in this bout, Darren Till is coming out from the first loss of his career in a fight against 4-time title defender of the welterweight division, Tyron Woodley. Till barely got a punch in against the recently defeated former Welterweight Champion of the world, who rocked the Liverpudlian with his signature right hand. Till rushed in to close the distance, meeting Woodley on the ground and finally tapping out. Masvidal’s versatility will be avoided by Till the whole night. Never forgetting his blunder with Woodley, tonight we will see a concentrated Till and an ever aggressive striker in Masvidal.

The co-main event will host a couple of other welterweights with Leon Edwards and Gunnar Nelson. These two performers have different fighting styles, although Nelson’s striking form seems to improve with every fight as the Nordic fighter trains in between spars with “The Notorious” Conor Mcgregor in Ireland and his mountainous homeland of Iceland. The most exciting fight stylistically lies in the hands of two fighters with polar opposing techniques, Joe Duffy and Marc Diakiese.

This is going to be a very action-packed and exhilarating fight card!

REYES -235 / OEZDEMIR +200

This Light-Heavyweight fight is going in the books! I’m a bit biased with the light-heavyweight division as these are competent heavy hitters in a very competitive division. In his last fight, Reyes was able to successfully brawl against a larger and thicker Ovince Saint Preux. Reyes was quick to punish Saint Preux for his mistakes, clearly prevailing in a 3 round decision and keeping his undefeated record in the UFC.

Dominick’s unpredictable nature and his skilled striking will baffle the stockier Volkan and leave him defenseless in his approach. Dominick will change up his routine during the fight which will be significantly distracting for the Swiss fighter and will leave him open for Reyes to takeover late in this fight.
PICK: Dominick Reyes by UD -235

Joseph Duffy vs Marc Diakiese

DUFFY -175 / DIAKIESE +150

Joe Duffy is one of the best well-rounded fighters in the UFC and the Congo’s Marc Diakiese can surprise his opponents.

Both men mirror each other at 5’10” with a 73” reach and 3 losses.

Both fighters experienced losses in their last fights, but the tale of the tape lies in the exciting unpredictability of their fight styles. Duffy has a 63% submission percentage and Diakiese has a 50% KO rate in total victories. The decision percentage from Duffy is only 13%. Fans will love that, but it won’t excite betters.

Diakiese is a Taekwondo-based striker with an added flair in his fighting style despite an undersized frame and can usually finish 58% of his victories. He is still young in the sport but he will use his speed to his advantage in this fight. Diakiese will be a menacing fighter to Duffy who isn’t prone to last in the cage. Unfortunately for Duffy, Diakiese’s superior cardio will overcome his striking ability. I like Diakiese in this match. He will keep Duffy busy with his wild athleticism and creative striking which will help earn a TKO.

 PICK: Marc Diakiese by TKO +150

Leon Edwards vs Gunnar Nelson

EDWARDS -135 / NELSON +115

I love the underdog story in this one! Nelson gets his opponents to the mat at a rate of 57% but Leon Edwards has a take down defense average of 70%  and will keep Nelson at bay with his exemplary sprawl technique. Leon is agonizing in his stand up with an average fight time of 14 minutes and will outlast the simple striking nature of Nelson. Leon’s decision making ability, which is often overlooked, will help him prevail in this match. Leon will hold off Nelson with his strong stamina and pummel him with incessant jabs, while also being very conscious about Nelson’s take down attempts.

 PICK: Leon Edwards by DEC -135

Darren Till vs Jorge Masvidal

TILL -225 , MASVIDAL +190

A competition of versatility in Masvidal’s arsenal of hustle and conviction versus Till’s “Gorilla” nature and the prowess of his background. I’ll take Masvidal’s wild striking over Tills simple framework, expecting the veteran brawler to go into his bag of tricks and end the Liverpool native early in the ground.

Till after being embarrassed by Woodley with a choke last September, will not make the same mistake with Masvidal. He will approach the fight with poise and level of concentration unseen in his last fights. Masvidal has a very unforgiving style for MMA and will challenge Till tonight by packing some punches and becoming a menace in the cage to a hesitating Till. Masvidal is known for playing the psychological aspect of a fight and will test Till’s resolve early with his notable smirk. Masvidal will hold his own against the home crowd of Till and his confidence will prevail in tonight’s bout.

 PICK: Masvidal by TKO in the 3rd round +190



Daniel Diaz
Daniel Diaz
In each writing, Daniel considers analytical data, player performance , and his years of enthusiasm for the game. Well versed and deeply informed with Boxing, MMA, NBA and NFL, he loves sports almost as much as he loves his heart's ultimate trophy, Marianne.